SMU
American Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#94
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#204
Pace71.6#115
Improvement-0.4#216

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#66
First Shot+4.5#47
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#180
Layup/Dunks+0.9#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#35
Freethrows+1.0#109
Improvement+0.6#103

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#129
First Shot+5.4#36
After Offensive Rebounds-4.2#345
Layups/Dunks+0.5#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#24
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
Freethrows+1.6#97
Improvement-1.0#284
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 4.5% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Average Seed 10.9 10.9 11.7
.500 or above 73.1% 74.9% 52.0%
.500 or above in Conference 55.8% 56.8% 45.0%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.0% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 3.9% 5.6%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round3.9% 4.1% 1.5%
Second Round1.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 92.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 43 - 9
Quad 36 - 59 - 14
Quad 49 - 118 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 327   McNeese St. W 86-62 95%     1 - 0 +10.8 -4.1 +11.6
  Nov 12, 2021 56   @ Oregon L 63-86 29%     1 - 1 -11.7 -5.4 -6.1
  Nov 15, 2021 347   Northwestern St. W 95-48 97%     2 - 1 +29.9 +12.2 +17.7
  Nov 18, 2021 325   SE Louisiana W 78-61 95%     3 - 1 +4.1 -5.3 +8.5
  Nov 21, 2021 127   Missouri L 75-80 OT 61%     3 - 2 -2.4 -3.2 +1.3
  Nov 22, 2021 108   Loyola Marymount L 70-76 55%     3 - 3 -1.7 +7.9 -10.5
  Nov 24, 2021 216   Sam Houston St. W 75-66 85%     4 - 3 +3.5 +1.3 +2.4
  Nov 28, 2021 272   Louisiana Monroe W 84-69 92%    
  Dec 01, 2021 148   UNLV W 73-66 74%    
  Dec 04, 2021 80   Vanderbilt W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 08, 2021 120   Dayton W 73-68 68%    
  Dec 19, 2021 230   @ New Mexico W 82-76 71%    
  Dec 21, 2021 252   Evansville W 74-61 89%    
  Dec 29, 2021 135   @ Tulsa W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 02, 2022 66   Central Florida W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 06, 2022 57   @ Cincinnati L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 12, 2022 207   South Florida W 68-57 83%    
  Jan 15, 2022 162   @ Tulane W 72-70 59%    
  Jan 20, 2022 22   @ Memphis L 71-82 16%    
  Jan 23, 2022 58   Wichita St. W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 26, 2022 207   @ South Florida W 65-60 66%    
  Jan 29, 2022 151   Temple W 77-70 75%    
  Feb 05, 2022 58   @ Wichita St. L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 09, 2022 7   Houston L 64-73 20%    
  Feb 12, 2022 177   @ East Carolina W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 16, 2022 151   @ Temple W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 20, 2022 22   Memphis L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 23, 2022 135   Tulsa W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 27, 2022 7   @ Houston L 61-76 9%    
  Mar 03, 2022 57   Cincinnati W 71-70 50%    
  Mar 06, 2022 162   Tulane W 75-67 76%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.0 4.7 2.0 0.3 12.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 5.3 5.1 1.7 0.1 14.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 6.4 5.5 1.8 0.1 15.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 6.4 5.2 1.6 0.1 15.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.9 4.6 0.9 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.0 3.7 0.8 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 2.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.2 2.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.2 5.6 8.6 11.1 13.8 14.4 13.7 11.4 8.0 4.6 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 97.1% 0.3    0.3 0.1
15-3 59.2% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 27.0% 0.7    0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 85.3% 26.5% 58.8% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 80.0%
15-3 1.0% 65.0% 13.6% 51.5% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 59.6%
14-4 2.4% 36.1% 11.5% 24.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 27.8%
13-5 4.6% 14.0% 6.3% 7.8% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.0 8.3%
12-6 8.0% 8.3% 6.3% 2.0% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 7.3 2.1%
11-7 11.4% 3.5% 3.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.0 0.3%
10-8 13.7% 2.2% 2.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.4 0.1%
9-9 14.4% 1.3% 1.3% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.2
8-10 13.8% 0.9% 0.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.7
7-11 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.6
5-13 5.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.6
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.3% 2.4% 1.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.7 2.0%