Colorado
Pac-12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#75
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#116
Pace66.0#263
Improvement-1.2#279

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#73
First Shot+3.5#76
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#147
Layup/Dunks+4.7#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#250
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#314
Freethrows+5.0#3
Improvement-2.4#342

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#92
First Shot+4.4#56
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#275
Layups/Dunks+3.0#78
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#235
Freethrows-0.1#198
Improvement+1.2#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 1.6% 2.2% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.4% 18.5% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.9% 16.9% 7.9%
Average Seed 9.4 9.3 9.8
.500 or above 69.8% 77.0% 55.1%
.500 or above in Conference 42.5% 51.0% 25.4%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 3.7% 12.3%
First Four3.7% 4.4% 2.5%
First Round13.5% 16.2% 7.9%
Second Round6.3% 7.8% 3.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.8% 2.3% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Home) - 66.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 46 - 12
Quad 35 - 311 - 14
Quad 47 - 118 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 184   Montana St. W 94-90 OT 85%     1 - 0 -0.1 +6.6 -7.1
  Nov 13, 2021 230   New Mexico W 87-76 89%     2 - 0 +4.7 +2.2 +1.5
  Nov 15, 2021 353   Maine W 90-46 98%     3 - 0 +25.1 +13.2 +12.5
  Nov 19, 2021 158   Southern Illinois L 63-67 73%     3 - 1 -3.4 +1.2 -5.2
  Nov 20, 2021 193   Duquesne W 84-76 OT 78%     4 - 1 +6.6 +6.5 -0.3
  Nov 22, 2021 226   Brown W 54-52 83%     5 - 1 -1.2 -14.9 +13.8
  Nov 28, 2021 97   Stanford W 71-66 67%    
  Dec 01, 2021 5   @ UCLA L 64-78 10%    
  Dec 04, 2021 23   Tennessee L 67-71 36%    
  Dec 08, 2021 237   Eastern Washington W 81-67 90%    
  Dec 10, 2021 244   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-62 90%    
  Dec 18, 2021 203   Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-59 86%    
  Dec 21, 2021 9   Kansas L 69-76 25%    
  Dec 30, 2021 56   @ Oregon L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 01, 2022 128   @ Oregon St. W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 06, 2022 48   Washington St. W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 09, 2022 131   Washington W 74-67 75%    
  Jan 13, 2022 6   @ Arizona L 65-79 11%    
  Jan 15, 2022 96   @ Arizona St. L 71-73 45%    
  Jan 20, 2022 14   USC L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 22, 2022 5   UCLA L 67-75 25%    
  Jan 27, 2022 131   @ Washington W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 30, 2022 48   @ Washington St. L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 03, 2022 56   Oregon W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 05, 2022 128   Oregon St. W 70-63 75%    
  Feb 12, 2022 51   Utah W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 17, 2022 129   @ California W 65-64 55%    
  Feb 19, 2022 97   @ Stanford L 68-69 44%    
  Feb 24, 2022 96   Arizona St. W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 26, 2022 6   Arizona L 68-76 25%    
  Mar 05, 2022 51   @ Utah L 66-71 34%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.5 0.7 0.1 5.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 2.4 3.4 2.5 1.0 0.1 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.9 5.1 2.6 0.7 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 5.0 5.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.6 5.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 13.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 4.1 4.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.4 1.3 0.2 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.9 0.8 0.1 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 3.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.7 5.9 8.6 10.9 12.3 13.3 12.3 10.5 7.6 5.5 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 90.9% 0.1    0.1
17-3 68.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 38.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
15-5 14.7% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 10.5% 89.5% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.8% 100.0% 17.7% 82.3% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.9% 91.1% 5.8% 85.3% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 90.5%
14-6 3.4% 80.9% 5.6% 75.3% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.7 79.8%
13-7 5.5% 60.8% 5.1% 55.7% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 58.7%
12-8 7.6% 36.2% 3.8% 32.3% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 4.8 33.6%
11-9 10.5% 20.0% 1.7% 18.3% 10.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 8.4 18.6%
10-10 12.3% 8.6% 2.2% 6.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 11.2 6.6%
9-11 13.3% 1.7% 0.6% 1.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.1 1.1%
8-12 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.3
7-13 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 10.9
6-14 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 8.6
5-15 5.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.9
4-16 3.7% 3.7
3-17 1.8% 1.8
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.4% 1.7% 13.7% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.2 2.9 3.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 84.6 13.9%