Rice
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#169
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#182
Pace71.5#116
Improvement-2.0#315

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#77
First Shot+2.3#110
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#86
Layup/Dunks-3.8#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#19
Freethrows+0.5#150
Improvement+1.6#36

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#299
First Shot-4.6#306
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#148
Layups/Dunks-3.6#284
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#269
Freethrows+2.4#54
Improvement-3.6#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 3.9% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.3
.500 or above 60.6% 70.5% 47.0%
.500 or above in Conference 53.2% 57.4% 47.4%
Conference Champion 2.5% 3.1% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 3.4% 5.8%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round3.4% 3.9% 2.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Home) - 57.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 411 - 316 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 235   Pepperdine W 82-63 73%     1 - 0 +12.3 +1.4 +9.7
  Nov 12, 2021 7   @ Houston L 46-79 4%     1 - 1 -12.7 -12.8 -2.3
  Nov 16, 2021 291   Southern W 81-63 83%     2 - 1 +7.7 -2.4 +8.4
  Nov 19, 2021 271   @ New Orleans W 83-78 61%     3 - 1 +1.9 +5.4 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2021 252   Evansville W 109-104 3OT 68%     4 - 1 +0.1 +11.9 -12.8
  Nov 23, 2021 125   Oakland L 73-76 39%     4 - 2 -0.2 +4.0 -4.3
  Nov 24, 2021 246   Fordham L 74-84 66%     4 - 3 -14.4 -0.8 -13.2
  Nov 30, 2021 156   Texas St. W 72-70 58%    
  Dec 11, 2021 352   @ Houston Baptist W 85-72 88%    
  Dec 16, 2021 349   Incarnate Word W 84-67 95%    
  Dec 22, 2021 11   @ Texas L 61-80 4%    
  Jan 01, 2022 115   @ North Texas L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 06, 2022 185   Middle Tennessee W 77-73 64%    
  Jan 08, 2022 52   UAB L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 13, 2022 123   @ Western Kentucky L 74-80 29%    
  Jan 15, 2022 116   @ Marshall L 82-89 28%    
  Jan 20, 2022 233   Old Dominion W 73-67 72%    
  Jan 22, 2022 198   Charlotte W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 27, 2022 112   @ Louisiana Tech L 76-83 26%    
  Jan 29, 2022 247   @ Southern Miss W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 03, 2022 296   Texas San Antonio W 85-75 82%    
  Feb 05, 2022 159   UTEP W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 12, 2022 115   North Texas L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 17, 2022 52   @ UAB L 70-82 15%    
  Feb 19, 2022 228   @ Florida International W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 24, 2022 112   Louisiana Tech L 79-80 46%    
  Feb 26, 2022 247   Southern Miss W 76-69 74%    
  Mar 03, 2022 159   @ UTEP L 70-74 37%    
  Mar 05, 2022 296   @ Texas San Antonio W 82-78 65%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.1 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.3 3.5 0.5 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.5 4.0 4.7 1.0 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 5.9 1.5 0.1 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.1 2.9 0.3 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.7 3.9 0.6 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.4 2.6 4.2 1.2 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.2 1.9 3.6 1.6 0.2 7.4 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 2.6 1.6 0.1 5.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.4 6.4 8.8 12.1 13.6 14.6 12.5 10.9 7.0 4.5 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 86.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 70.5% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 36.6% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 19.4% 19.4% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.1% 16.2% 16.2% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.2% 13.8% 13.8% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.9
13-5 4.5% 14.8% 14.8% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 3.8
12-6 7.0% 9.4% 9.4% 14.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.4
11-7 10.9% 5.3% 5.3% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.3
10-8 12.5% 3.0% 3.0% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.2
9-9 14.6% 1.7% 1.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.3
8-10 13.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.4 0.1 0.1 13.4
7-11 12.1% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 12.0
6-12 8.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.8
5-13 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-14 3.4% 3.4
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.3 96.6 0.0%