Tulane
American Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#162
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#280
Pace67.7#228
Improvement+1.4#63

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#213
First Shot-2.6#254
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#106
Layup/Dunks-2.4#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#130
Freethrows+0.9#126
Improvement-0.5#247

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#109
First Shot+1.6#121
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#173
Layups/Dunks+1.9#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#201
Freethrows+1.0#134
Improvement+1.9#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.2
.500 or above 16.7% 25.2% 8.9%
.500 or above in Conference 15.9% 20.0% 12.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 23.1% 19.4% 26.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Away) - 47.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 7
Quad 21 - 42 - 11
Quad 34 - 56 - 16
Quad 46 - 312 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 325   SE Louisiana W 70-67 89%     1 - 0 -9.9 -7.3 -2.6
  Nov 13, 2021 291   Southern L 70-73 84%     1 - 1 -13.3 -10.1 -3.0
  Nov 17, 2021 24   @ Florida St. L 54-59 7%     1 - 2 +11.5 -3.3 +14.2
  Nov 22, 2021 167   Drexel W 90-87 OT 51%     2 - 2 +2.9 +4.9 -2.3
  Nov 23, 2021 118   Toledo L 67-68 38%     2 - 3 +2.3 -9.1 +11.4
  Nov 24, 2021 202   Valparaiso L 64-68 58%     2 - 4 -5.8 -5.7 -0.3
  Nov 30, 2021 206   @ College of Charleston L 77-78 48%    
  Dec 04, 2021 326   Alcorn St. W 74-61 90%    
  Dec 07, 2021 206   College of Charleston W 80-75 68%    
  Dec 14, 2021 81   @ Texas A&M L 59-68 20%    
  Dec 18, 2021 332   Grambling St. W 75-61 91%    
  Dec 21, 2021 271   New Orleans W 79-70 81%    
  Dec 29, 2021 22   Memphis L 65-76 17%    
  Jan 01, 2022 57   @ Cincinnati L 60-71 16%    
  Jan 05, 2022 177   @ East Carolina L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 08, 2022 207   South Florida W 61-56 69%    
  Jan 12, 2022 58   @ Wichita St. L 59-70 16%    
  Jan 15, 2022 94   SMU L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 22, 2022 66   @ Central Florida L 62-72 18%    
  Jan 26, 2022 135   Tulsa W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 29, 2022 58   Wichita St. L 62-67 33%    
  Feb 02, 2022 7   @ Houston L 54-74 4%    
  Feb 05, 2022 177   East Carolina W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 09, 2022 22   @ Memphis L 62-79 8%    
  Feb 12, 2022 151   Temple W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 15, 2022 207   @ South Florida L 58-59 48%    
  Feb 23, 2022 7   Houston L 57-71 11%    
  Feb 27, 2022 151   @ Temple L 66-70 37%    
  Mar 03, 2022 66   Central Florida L 65-69 36%    
  Mar 06, 2022 94   @ SMU L 67-75 24%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.7 1.0 0.2 3.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 3.0 1.8 0.3 6.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 4.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 5.9 3.9 0.6 0.0 12.9 7th
8th 0.3 2.6 7.1 4.5 0.8 0.0 15.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.4 7.3 5.1 0.7 0.1 17.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.9 7.1 4.3 0.7 0.0 17.0 10th
11th 0.4 2.1 4.2 5.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 14.5 11th
Total 0.4 2.2 5.1 9.3 13.1 14.8 15.3 13.2 10.7 7.3 4.5 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 66.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 14.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 1.7% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.6% 5.0% 3.3% 1.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.7%
12-6 1.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 1.1 0.9%
11-7 2.1% 2.3% 1.9% 0.5% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.5%
10-8 4.5% 1.1% 1.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 4.5
9-9 7.3% 1.4% 1.4% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.2
8-10 10.7% 0.4% 0.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
7-11 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 15.3% 15.3
5-13 14.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.8
4-14 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
3-15 9.3% 9.3
2-16 5.1% 5.1
1-17 2.2% 2.2
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.1%