IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
George Washington
Atlantic 10
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.1	#196
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.9	#79
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.5	#197

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.5	#188

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	2.2%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.5%	0.6%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.4	12.4	14.7

.500 or above	42.5%	46.0%	14.0%
.500 or above in Conference	23.3%	25.3%	7.4%
Conference Champion	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	22.0%	19.7%	40.3%

First Four	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
First Round	1.8%	2.0%	0.3%
Second Round	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 88.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 3	3 - 5	5 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 2	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2022	332	Howard	W	86-73	89%
Nov 14, 2022	141	@ Hofstra	L	74-80	31%
Nov 18, 2022	361	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	81-58	98%
Nov 22, 2022	264	UC San Diego	W	78-71	73%
Nov 26, 2022	329	New Hampshire	W	73-60	86%
Nov 30, 2022	87	South Carolina	L	73-78	34%
Dec 04, 2022	293	@ Radford	W	70-66	62%
Dec 10, 2022	312	American	W	75-64	82%
Dec 13, 2022	336	Coppin St.	W	85-71	86%
Dec 22, 2022	71	Washington St.	L	66-75	22%
Dec 31, 2022	54	@ Loyola Chicago	L	61-75	13%
Jan 04, 2023	88	@ Richmond	L	67-78	19%
Jan 07, 2023	124	Massachusetts	L	78-79	46%
Jan 14, 2023	45	Saint Louis	L	70-79	24%
Jan 16, 2023	123	@ George Mason	L	67-74	27%
Jan 21, 2023	28	Dayton	L	62-73	20%
Jan 25, 2023	149	Saint Joseph's	W	73-72	53%
Jan 28, 2023	202	@ Fordham	L	68-71	42%
Feb 01, 2023	182	@ La Salle	L	70-74	39%
Feb 04, 2023	178	Duquesne	W	73-71	57%
Feb 08, 2023	88	Richmond	L	70-75	36%
Feb 11, 2023	149	@ Saint Joseph's	L	70-75	34%
Feb 15, 2023	123	George Mason	L	70-71	46%
Feb 19, 2023	103	@ St. Bonaventure	L	66-75	24%
Feb 22, 2023	112	@ Rhode Island	L	67-75	27%
Feb 25, 2023	182	La Salle	W	73-71	57%
Mar 01, 2023	81	@ Davidson	L	66-77	19%
Mar 04, 2023	75	Virginia Commonwealth	L	68-74	32%
Projected Record						13 - 15	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.8	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0					2.2	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	1.2	1.1	0.3	0.0						2.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.2	1.3	1.7	0.4	0.0							3.6	5th
6th									0.1	1.2	2.3	0.9	0.1								4.5	6th
7th								0.0	0.9	2.6	1.3	0.1									5.0	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	2.7	2.3	0.3	0.0									5.9	8th
9th						0.0	0.3	2.4	3.2	0.9	0.0										6.8	9th
10th						0.2	1.9	4.2	1.7	0.1	0.0										8.0	10th
11th					0.1	1.6	4.5	2.7	0.3	0.0											9.3	11th
12th				0.1	1.4	4.4	3.5	0.7	0.0												10.1	12th
13th			0.1	1.6	4.6	4.3	1.1	0.0													11.7	13th
14th		0.5	2.3	4.7	4.0	1.2	0.1														12.7	14th
15th	1.7	3.9	5.0	3.1	0.9	0.1	0.0														14.7	15th

Total	1.7	4.4	7.4	9.5	11.0	11.8	11.4	10.6	8.9	7.3	5.6	4.2	2.7	1.8	1.1	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	95.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	83.3%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	46.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	27.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	4.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0				0.0			0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.1%		91.7%	28.9%	62.8%	5.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0						0.0		88.4%
16-2	0.2%		74.8%	14.3%	60.5%	8.1			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		70.6%
15-3	0.4%		43.5%	10.1%	33.4%	10.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.3		37.1%
14-4	1.1%		19.6%	9.2%	10.4%	11.1									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.9		11.5%
13-5	1.8%		12.2%	8.0%	4.2%	11.6										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			1.5		4.6%
12-6	2.7%		6.0%	5.0%	1.0%	12.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		2.6		1.1%
11-7	4.2%		4.9%	4.9%	0.1%	12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		4.0		0.1%
10-8	5.6%		3.0%	3.0%		13.2												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		5.4
9-9	7.3%		2.3%	2.3%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	7.1
8-10	8.9%		1.7%	1.7%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	8.7
7-11	10.6%		1.1%	1.1%		15.6																0.0	0.1	10.5
6-12	11.4%		0.9%	0.9%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.3
5-13	11.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																0.0	0.1	11.7
4-14	11.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
3-15	9.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
2-16	7.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
1-17	4.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
0-18	1.7%																							1.7

Total	100%		2.0%	1.5%	0.5%	12.4			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3	98.0		0.5%