Preseason Rankings
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#112
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.2#180
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#173
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#88
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.3% 1.7% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.1% 11.9% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.9% 7.2% 0.9%
Average Seed 10.0 9.9 12.2
.500 or above 63.8% 70.8% 34.9%
.500 or above in Conference 55.3% 60.5% 33.9%
Conference Champion 5.1% 6.0% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 4.4% 12.5%
First Four2.2% 2.6% 0.7%
First Round8.9% 10.6% 2.3%
Second Round3.4% 4.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Home) - 80.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 35 - 48 - 11
Quad 49 - 216 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 221   Quinnipiac W 77-68 80%    
  Nov 12, 2022 168   Texas St. W 68-61 73%    
  Nov 15, 2022 258   Stony Brook W 78-66 85%    
  Nov 21, 2022 68   Kansas St. L 66-70 35%    
  Nov 27, 2022 86   @ Boston College L 64-70 31%    
  Dec 03, 2022 50   Providence L 66-69 39%    
  Dec 07, 2022 240   Brown W 74-64 80%    
  Dec 10, 2022 266   Army W 77-65 84%    
  Dec 13, 2022 238   Umass Lowell W 74-64 79%    
  Dec 18, 2022 169   @ Georgia St. W 70-69 52%    
  Dec 22, 2022 306   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-61 89%    
  Dec 31, 2022 178   @ Duquesne W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 04, 2023 202   Fordham W 70-62 74%    
  Jan 07, 2023 182   @ La Salle W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 11, 2023 103   St. Bonaventure W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 14, 2023 124   @ Massachusetts L 74-77 42%    
  Jan 17, 2023 88   @ Richmond L 66-72 32%    
  Jan 21, 2023 123   George Mason W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 25, 2023 28   Dayton L 61-67 32%    
  Jan 28, 2023 182   La Salle W 72-65 72%    
  Feb 01, 2023 149   @ Saint Joseph's L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 07, 2023 45   @ Saint Louis L 66-76 21%    
  Feb 11, 2023 123   @ George Mason L 66-69 42%    
  Feb 15, 2023 75   Virginia Commonwealth L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 18, 2023 124   Massachusetts W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 22, 2023 196   George Washington W 75-67 73%    
  Feb 25, 2023 202   @ Fordham W 67-65 57%    
  Mar 01, 2023 54   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-70 24%    
  Mar 04, 2023 81   Davidson L 68-69 48%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.4 1.1 0.1 7.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.2 3.8 1.4 0.2 7.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.9 2.8 0.4 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.5 0.7 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.8 1.2 0.1 7.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 3.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 6.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.5 0.6 0.0 6.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.4 0.8 0.0 5.7 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 4.5 14th
15th 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 3.5 15th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.2 4.7 6.7 8.0 9.4 10.2 10.6 10.4 9.6 8.1 6.5 4.6 3.1 1.6 0.7 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.0% 0.7    0.6 0.1
16-2 79.9% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
15-3 50.5% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 22.6% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 95.4% 40.7% 54.8% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.3%
17-1 0.7% 96.0% 27.1% 68.8% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.4%
16-2 1.6% 82.9% 19.4% 63.5% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 78.8%
15-3 3.1% 60.0% 13.0% 47.0% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.2 54.0%
14-4 4.6% 39.5% 12.2% 27.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 31.1%
13-5 6.5% 23.1% 9.7% 13.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.0 14.8%
12-6 8.1% 11.6% 6.7% 5.0% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.1 5.3%
11-7 9.6% 6.3% 5.3% 1.0% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 1.1%
10-8 10.4% 4.3% 4.1% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.3%
9-9 10.6% 2.6% 2.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.4
8-10 10.2% 1.9% 1.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.0
7-11 9.4% 1.5% 1.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.2
6-12 8.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.9
5-13 6.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 6.6
4-14 4.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.6
3-15 3.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-16 1.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.7
1-17 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 10.1% 4.4% 5.7% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 89.9 5.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.0 26.8 42.3 30.9