IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.4	#109
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.2	#336
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.6	#139

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.8	#104

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.8%	0.8%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	2.2%	2.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.6%	9.7%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	8.0%	8.1%	0.5%
Average Seed	8.8	8.8	10.8

.500 or above	35.4%	35.9%	4.1%
.500 or above in Conference	18.2%	18.4%	2.5%
Conference Champion	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	25.9%	25.5%	55.7%

First Four	1.8%	1.8%	0.4%
First Round	8.7%	8.9%	0.5%
Second Round	4.2%	4.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	1.4%	1.4%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Final Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Martin (Home) - 98.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 10
Quad 2	3 - 5	4 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 2	7 - 16
Quad 4	6 - 1	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	352	Tennessee Martin	W	82-59	99%
Nov 11, 2022	56	West Virginia	L	67-69	42%
Nov 16, 2022	15	Michigan	L	62-73	18%
Nov 20, 2022	354	Alabama St.	W	79-55	98%
Nov 22, 2022	319	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	81-64	93%
Nov 25, 2022	295	William & Mary	W	76-61	90%
Nov 28, 2022	85	@ Northwestern	L	64-70	32%
Dec 02, 2022	69	@ North Carolina St.	L	65-72	29%
Dec 07, 2022	72	@ Vanderbilt	L	64-71	29%
Dec 10, 2022	283	Sacred Heart	W	77-63	88%
Dec 17, 2022	243	North Florida	W	75-64	81%
Dec 20, 2022	52	@ Syracuse	L	66-75	24%
Dec 30, 2022	2	North Carolina	L	66-77	18%
Jan 03, 2023	20	Virginia	L	54-61	30%
Jan 07, 2023	65	Clemson	L	66-67	46%
Jan 11, 2023	7	@ Duke	L	62-78	10%
Jan 14, 2023	97	@ Georgia Tech	L	64-69	36%
Jan 18, 2023	73	@ Louisville	L	63-70	30%
Jan 21, 2023	42	Florida St.	L	66-70	39%
Jan 25, 2023	67	Wake Forest	L	71-72	47%
Jan 28, 2023	32	Miami (FL)	L	66-71	35%
Feb 01, 2023	2	@ North Carolina	L	63-80	8%
Feb 07, 2023	73	Louisville	L	66-67	48%
Feb 11, 2023	42	@ Florida St.	L	63-73	23%
Feb 14, 2023	86	Boston College	W	65-64	52%
Feb 18, 2023	34	@ Virginia Tech	L	58-69	20%
Feb 21, 2023	97	Georgia Tech	W	67-66	55%
Feb 25, 2023	52	Syracuse	L	69-72	42%
Mar 01, 2023	40	@ Notre Dame	L	62-72	22%
Mar 04, 2023	32	@ Miami (FL)	L	63-74	20%
Projected Record						13 - 17	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.5	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.1						1.6	3rd
4th											0.0	0.2	0.8	0.8	0.4	0.1							2.3	4th
5th											0.1	0.9	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0							2.7	5th
6th										0.1	1.1	1.8	0.8	0.1	0.0								3.8	6th
7th								0.0	0.1	0.9	2.1	1.2	0.2	0.0									4.4	7th
8th								0.0	0.7	2.5	1.8	0.3	0.0										5.4	8th
9th							0.0	0.6	2.6	2.5	0.6	0.0											6.4	9th
10th						0.0	0.5	2.5	3.3	1.1	0.1												7.4	10th
11th					0.0	0.4	2.5	4.2	1.9	0.2	0.0												9.2	11th
12th				0.0	0.5	2.7	4.4	2.2	0.4	0.0													10.2	12th
13th			0.1	0.8	3.1	4.9	2.7	0.5	0.0														12.2	13th
14th		0.2	1.7	4.2	5.1	2.9	0.6	0.0															14.8	14th
15th	1.6	4.3	5.2	4.5	1.8	0.5	0.0																18.1	15th

Total	1.6	4.5	7.0	9.6	10.6	11.4	10.8	10.1	8.9	7.3	5.9	4.3	3.0	2.1	1.4	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	90.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	63.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	33.2%	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	15.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	2.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.2%	0.0					0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	20.0%	80.0%	1.8		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	27.8%	72.2%	2.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-3	0.2%		100.0%	9.7%	90.3%	3.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0									100.0%
16-4	0.4%		98.9%	9.0%	89.9%	4.5		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0		98.7%
15-5	0.8%		97.4%	11.7%	85.7%	5.7		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		97.1%
14-6	1.4%		90.1%	6.5%	83.6%	6.9			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1		89.4%
13-7	2.1%		77.0%	5.7%	71.3%	8.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.5		75.6%
12-8	3.0%		59.4%	5.8%	53.6%	9.1						0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0				1.2		56.9%
11-9	4.3%		33.9%	4.8%	29.1%	9.8					0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0				2.9		30.6%
10-10	5.9%		16.1%	2.9%	13.2%	10.6							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		4.9		13.6%
9-11	7.3%		5.3%	2.5%	2.8%	11.9									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.9		2.8%
8-12	8.9%		1.6%	1.5%	0.1%	14.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.8		0.1%
7-13	10.1%		1.5%	1.5%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	9.9		0.1%
6-14	10.8%		1.1%	1.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.7
5-15	11.4%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	11.3
4-16	10.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.5
3-17	9.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
2-18	7.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.0
1-19	4.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
0-20	1.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.6

Total	100%		9.6%	1.7%	7.8%	8.8		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.8	1.0	1.2	1.3	1.5	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4	90.4		8.0%