IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Lehigh
Patriot League
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.0	#282
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.3	#110
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#261

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.1	#298

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.7%	13.2%	4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	14.0	15.0

.500 or above	31.9%	73.1%	30.7%
.500 or above in Conference	44.4%	75.9%	43.5%
Conference Champion	5.0%	14.7%	4.7%
Last Place in Conference	14.2%	3.4%	14.5%

First Four	1.3%	1.9%	1.3%
First Round	4.0%	11.8%	3.8%
Second Round	0.2%	1.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	10 - 8	11 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	52	@ Syracuse	L	66-86	3%
Nov 10, 2022	34	@ Virginia Tech	L	58-80	2%
Nov 16, 2022	296	Marist	W	72-68	63%
Nov 21, 2022	291	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	72-74	42%
Nov 27, 2022	260	Monmouth	W	71-70	54%
Nov 30, 2022	361	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	75-64	83%
Dec 03, 2022	236	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	75-76	48%
Dec 15, 2022	41	@ Wisconsin	L	60-81	4%
Dec 20, 2022	217	@ Cornell	L	75-83	26%
Dec 30, 2022	266	@ Army	L	72-77	36%
Jan 02, 2023	113	Colgate	L	70-78	27%
Jan 05, 2023	274	@ Bucknell	L	74-78	38%
Jan 08, 2023	246	@ Navy	L	64-70	30%
Jan 11, 2023	317	Holy Cross	W	76-71	66%
Jan 14, 2023	312	American	W	72-67	66%
Jan 16, 2023	297	@ Loyola Maryland	L	67-69	44%
Jan 21, 2023	271	Lafayette	W	72-70	55%
Jan 25, 2023	317	@ Holy Cross	L	73-74	48%
Jan 29, 2023	233	Boston University	L	71-72	47%
Feb 01, 2023	266	Army	W	75-74	54%
Feb 04, 2023	271	@ Lafayette	L	69-73	37%
Feb 08, 2023	113	@ Colgate	L	67-81	14%
Feb 11, 2023	297	Loyola Maryland	W	70-66	63%
Feb 15, 2023	246	Navy	L	66-67	49%
Feb 18, 2023	312	@ American	L	69-70	47%
Feb 22, 2023	274	Bucknell	W	77-75	57%
Feb 25, 2023	233	@ Boston University	L	68-75	29%
Projected Record						11 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.8	1.3	1.3	0.9	0.4	0.1		5.0	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	2.3	2.7	1.7	0.6	0.1				8.4	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.7	3.4	3.0	1.2	0.3	0.0					9.8	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.4	4.2	2.8	0.8	0.1							10.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	2.8	4.7	2.6	0.6	0.0	0.0							11.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.4	5.1	2.3	0.4	0.0									11.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.8	3.5	4.9	2.2	0.3	0.0										11.7	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.3	3.9	4.3	1.7	0.2	0.0											11.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.5	2.1	3.5	3.1	1.3	0.1	0.0												10.7	9th
10th	0.5	1.4	2.5	2.7	1.6	0.6	0.0														9.3	10th

Total	0.5	1.5	3.0	5.0	6.5	8.4	9.6	10.6	10.6	10.0	9.1	7.6	6.4	4.6	3.3	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.1			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	90.4%	0.9		0.7	0.1
15-3	68.6%	1.3		0.9	0.5	0.0
14-4	38.8%	1.3		0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	16.3%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.0%	5.0		3.0	1.5	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		59.2%	57.1%	2.1%	12.2							0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		4.9%
17-1	0.4%		47.4%	46.8%	0.6%	12.9								0.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.2		1.1%
16-2	1.0%		34.4%	34.4%		13.6												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.6
15-3	2.0%		29.4%	29.4%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	1.4
14-4	3.3%		18.3%	18.3%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	2.7
13-5	4.6%		13.9%	13.9%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	4.0
12-6	6.4%		10.5%	10.5%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	5.7
11-7	7.6%		6.9%	6.9%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	7.1
10-8	9.1%		4.4%	4.4%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	8.7
9-9	10.0%		2.8%	2.8%		15.9																0.0	0.3	9.7
8-10	10.6%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																0.0	0.2	10.4
7-11	10.6%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	10.5
6-12	9.6%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	9.6
5-13	8.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
4-14	6.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
3-15	5.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.0
2-16	3.0%																							3.0
1-17	1.5%																							1.5
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		4.7%	4.7%	0.0%	14.9							0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.2	2.0	95.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%