Preseason Rankings
Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.7#352
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.7#84
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-9.5#358
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 3.3% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 7.2% 39.8% 6.7%
.500 or above in Conference 16.8% 48.1% 16.3%
Conference Champion 0.8% 4.6% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 32.3% 9.7% 32.6%
First Four0.5% 1.8% 0.5%
First Round0.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 7
Quad 47 - 137 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 109   @ Pittsburgh L 59-82 1%    
  Nov 09, 2022 223   @ Youngstown St. L 69-85 7%    
  Nov 18, 2022 58   @ Mississippi L 58-86 1%    
  Nov 20, 2022 285   Prairie View L 75-80 32%    
  Nov 22, 2022 230   @ Arkansas St. L 67-83 9%    
  Nov 28, 2022 331   McNeese St. L 78-80 44%    
  Dec 03, 2022 211   @ UNC Asheville L 67-84 8%    
  Dec 11, 2022 362   Chicago St. W 77-68 77%    
  Dec 17, 2022 234   @ Bowling Green L 76-92 10%    
  Dec 29, 2022 261   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 68-81 14%    
  Dec 31, 2022 187   Morehead St. L 64-76 16%    
  Jan 05, 2023 281   Southeast Missouri St. L 79-85 32%    
  Jan 07, 2023 305   Tennessee Tech L 76-80 36%    
  Jan 12, 2023 276   @ Tennessee St. L 69-82 16%    
  Jan 14, 2023 339   @ Southern Indiana L 70-77 30%    
  Jan 19, 2023 281   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 76-88 17%    
  Jan 21, 2023 330   Eastern Illinois L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 26, 2023 355   Lindenwood W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 28, 2023 339   Southern Indiana L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 02, 2023 326   @ SIU Edwardsville L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 04, 2023 355   @ Lindenwood L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 09, 2023 330   @ Eastern Illinois L 68-76 27%    
  Feb 11, 2023 261   Arkansas Little Rock L 71-78 28%    
  Feb 16, 2023 326   SIU Edwardsville L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 18, 2023 305   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-83 21%    
  Feb 23, 2023 276   Tennessee St. L 72-79 30%    
  Feb 25, 2023 187   @ Morehead St. L 61-79 8%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 3.0 3.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 4.3 4.5 1.8 0.2 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.3 6.2 4.8 1.4 0.2 16.5 8th
9th 0.3 2.4 5.8 7.0 4.2 1.1 0.1 20.9 9th
10th 2.8 6.0 6.9 5.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 23.3 10th
Total 2.8 6.3 9.4 11.4 12.6 12.5 11.0 9.3 7.8 5.7 4.3 2.9 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 94.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 72.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 44.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 35.9% 35.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 28.6% 28.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 24.6% 24.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 12.0% 12.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5
13-5 1.1% 9.0% 9.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0
12-6 1.9% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.8
11-7 2.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.8
10-8 4.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.2
9-9 5.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.7
8-10 7.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.8
7-11 9.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.3
6-12 11.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.0
5-13 12.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.5
4-14 12.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.6
3-15 11.4% 11.4
2-16 9.4% 9.4
1-17 6.3% 6.3
0-18 2.8% 2.8
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%