IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.4	#305
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.9	#65
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.0	#262

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.4	#325

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.7%	25.6%	7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	13.6	15.4

.500 or above	39.1%	83.4%	38.9%
.500 or above in Conference	61.6%	90.6%	61.5%
Conference Champion	8.9%	36.3%	8.8%
Last Place in Conference	5.3%	0.0%	5.3%

First Four	2.9%	2.1%	3.0%
First Round	6.0%	24.9%	5.9%
Second Round	0.1%	2.9%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.7%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 8	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	10	@ Tennessee	L	60-88	0.3%
Nov 14, 2022	159	@ Marshall	L	76-88	14%
Nov 17, 2022	336	Coppin St.	W	82-76	71%
Nov 20, 2022	189	East Tennessee St.	L	71-76	34%
Nov 27, 2022	195	@ Northern Kentucky	L	65-75	19%
Nov 30, 2022	130	Chattanooga	L	68-76	25%
Dec 03, 2022	80	@ Butler	L	61-80	6%
Dec 10, 2022	235	@ Troy	L	69-77	25%
Dec 14, 2022	225	@ Lipscomb	L	75-84	24%
Dec 17, 2022	268	Western Carolina	W	78-77	51%
Dec 29, 2022	326	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	75-76	47%
Dec 31, 2022	355	@ Lindenwood	W	78-73	67%
Jan 05, 2023	330	Eastern Illinois	W	75-69	67%
Jan 07, 2023	352	@ Tennessee Martin	W	80-76	64%
Jan 12, 2023	187	Morehead St.	L	67-72	35%
Jan 14, 2023	276	Tennessee St.	W	76-75	53%
Jan 19, 2023	261	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	71-77	32%
Jan 21, 2023	281	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	79-84	36%
Jan 26, 2023	326	SIU Edwardsville	W	78-73	65%
Jan 28, 2023	261	Arkansas Little Rock	L	74-75	50%
Feb 02, 2023	187	@ Morehead St.	L	64-75	20%
Feb 04, 2023	281	Southeast Missouri St.	W	82-81	55%
Feb 09, 2023	339	Southern Indiana	W	77-70	70%
Feb 11, 2023	276	@ Tennessee St.	L	73-78	34%
Feb 16, 2023	355	Lindenwood	W	81-70	81%
Feb 18, 2023	352	Tennessee Martin	W	83-73	79%
Feb 23, 2023	339	@ Southern Indiana	W	74-73	53%
Feb 25, 2023	330	@ Eastern Illinois	L	72-73	48%
Projected Record						12 - 16	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.0	1.9	2.6	2.0	1.0	0.3		8.9	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.7	2.5	4.1	3.3	1.3	0.2				12.1	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.3	4.0	4.8	2.6	0.6	0.0					13.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.0	4.7	4.4	1.7	0.2							13.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.5	5.0	3.9	1.1	0.1								12.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	2.9	4.7	3.0	0.7	0.0									11.8	6th
7th					0.1	0.8	3.0	4.2	2.1	0.4	0.0										10.5	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	0.9	2.6	2.9	1.2	0.2	0.0											8.1	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	1.2	1.9	1.7	0.6	0.1													5.9	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0														3.1	10th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.3	3.6	5.3	7.1	8.8	9.7	10.5	10.7	10.2	9.3	7.8	5.7	3.9	2.2	1.0	0.3			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
16-2	90.3%	2.0		1.6	0.4	0.0
15-3	65.0%	2.6		1.6	0.9	0.1
14-4	33.1%	1.9		0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0
13-5	12.6%	1.0		0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0
12-6	2.0%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.9%	8.9		5.5	2.6	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		69.9%	69.9%		13.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	1.0%		57.0%	57.0%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.4
16-2	2.2%		40.9%	40.9%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	1.3
15-3	3.9%		29.3%	29.3%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	2.8
14-4	5.7%		21.0%	21.0%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	4.5
13-5	7.8%		14.5%	14.5%		15.7															0.1	0.3	0.8	6.7
12-6	9.3%		10.1%	10.1%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.8	8.3
11-7	10.2%		6.8%	6.8%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.6	9.5
10-8	10.7%		3.6%	3.6%		16.0																0.0	0.4	10.3
9-9	10.5%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																0.0	0.3	10.2
8-10	9.7%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	9.6
7-11	8.8%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.7
6-12	7.1%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	7.1
5-13	5.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
4-14	3.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
3-15	2.3%																							2.3
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		7.7%	7.7%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	1.9	4.5	92.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%