Preseason Rankings
Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#259
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.9#120
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#234
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#285
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 8.4% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.2 14.6
.500 or above 25.0% 64.1% 23.8%
.500 or above in Conference 35.4% 66.5% 34.4%
Conference Champion 3.2% 11.7% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.4% 3.6% 16.8%
First Four0.8% 0.5% 0.8%
First Round2.6% 7.9% 2.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 48 - 610 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 39   @ Texas A&M L 61-81 3%    
  Nov 17, 2022 19   @ TCU L 60-82 3%    
  Nov 21, 2022 121   @ Louisiana Tech L 67-79 16%    
  Nov 25, 2022 307   Nebraska Omaha W 80-76 62%    
  Nov 28, 2022 82   @ Tulane L 68-83 10%    
  Dec 10, 2022 338   @ Northwestern St. W 80-76 62%    
  Dec 14, 2022 175   Sam Houston St. L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 17, 2022 301   Lamar W 74-68 69%    
  Dec 20, 2022 160   Jacksonville L 64-66 42%    
  Dec 29, 2022 168   @ Texas St. L 64-72 25%    
  Dec 31, 2022 230   @ Arkansas St. L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 05, 2023 169   Georgia St. L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 07, 2023 299   Southern Miss W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 12, 2023 158   Louisiana L 66-69 42%    
  Jan 14, 2023 168   Texas St. L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 19, 2023 251   @ Georgia Southern L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 21, 2023 235   @ Troy L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 26, 2023 159   @ Marshall L 76-85 25%    
  Jan 28, 2023 162   @ James Madison L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 02, 2023 184   Coastal Carolina L 71-73 45%    
  Feb 04, 2023 205   South Alabama L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 09, 2023 183   Appalachian St. L 68-70 45%    
  Feb 11, 2023 299   @ Southern Miss W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 16, 2023 158   @ Louisiana L 63-72 25%    
  Feb 18, 2023 205   @ South Alabama L 68-75 30%    
  Feb 22, 2023 235   Troy W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 24, 2023 230   Arkansas St. W 74-73 53%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.9 0.7 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 3.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.8 2.0 0.2 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.1 0.4 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.1 3.8 1.0 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.1 1.5 0.1 9.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.9 4.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.3 12th
13th 0.2 1.3 3.0 3.7 2.0 0.2 10.4 13th
14th 0.8 2.4 3.5 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 10.8 14th
Total 0.8 2.6 4.9 6.6 8.5 10.0 10.6 10.5 10.1 8.8 7.9 6.3 4.6 3.3 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 99.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 90.7% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 72.4% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 38.1% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 61.5% 56.0% 5.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5%
17-1 0.2% 27.9% 24.8% 3.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.1%
16-2 0.6% 27.4% 24.5% 2.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 3.9%
15-3 1.3% 17.0% 17.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.2% 14.4% 14.4% 13.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
13-5 3.3% 11.1% 11.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9
12-6 4.6% 7.3% 7.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.3
11-7 6.3% 5.7% 5.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.0
10-8 7.9% 4.2% 4.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.6
9-9 8.8% 3.0% 3.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.5
8-10 10.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.0
7-11 10.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.4
6-12 10.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.5
5-13 10.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.9
4-14 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.5
3-15 6.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.6
2-16 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.9
1-17 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.0 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%