IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Missouri
Southeastern
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.2	#70
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.3	#261
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.9	#58

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.3	#91

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.3%	1.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	4.2%	4.3%	0.2%
Top 6 Seed	8.5%	8.6%	0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid	25.4%	25.7%	3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	22.8%	23.1%	3.0%
Average Seed	7.6	7.6	8.9

.500 or above	60.2%	60.8%	17.7%
.500 or above in Conference	34.1%	34.4%	6.9%
Conference Champion	1.9%	1.9%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	14.1%	13.7%	41.3%

First Four	3.0%	3.0%	0.6%
First Round	24.0%	24.3%	3.2%
Second Round	13.9%	14.1%	1.0%
Sweet Sixteen	5.4%	5.5%	0.4%
Elite Eight	2.2%	2.3%	0.2%
Final Four	0.9%	0.9%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 98.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 9
Quad 2	3 - 3	6 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 1	10 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	339	Southern Indiana	W	81-58	99%
Nov 11, 2022	150	Penn	W	78-68	82%
Nov 13, 2022	355	Lindenwood	W	85-57	99%
Nov 15, 2022	326	SIU Edwardsville	W	82-60	97%
Nov 20, 2022	363	Mississippi Valley	W	92-56	99.9%
Nov 23, 2022	184	Coastal Carolina	W	76-64	84%
Nov 26, 2022	298	Houston Christian	W	70-51	95%
Nov 29, 2022	94	@ Wichita St.	L	69-70	47%
Dec 04, 2022	281	Southeast Missouri St.	W	86-68	93%
Dec 10, 2022	6	Kansas	L	69-76	29%
Dec 16, 2022	92	Central Florida	W	71-69	57%
Dec 22, 2022	18	Illinois	L	67-73	31%
Dec 28, 2022	3	Kentucky	L	69-76	27%
Jan 04, 2023	11	@ Arkansas	L	67-78	18%
Jan 07, 2023	72	Vanderbilt	W	72-69	60%
Jan 11, 2023	39	@ Texas A&M	L	66-72	30%
Jan 14, 2023	30	@ Florida	L	65-72	28%
Jan 18, 2023	11	Arkansas	L	70-75	34%
Jan 21, 2023	22	Alabama	L	76-79	41%
Jan 24, 2023	58	@ Mississippi	L	66-70	36%
Jan 28, 2023	51	Iowa St.	W	67-66	54%
Feb 01, 2023	47	LSU	W	72-71	52%
Feb 04, 2023	64	@ Mississippi St.	L	66-70	39%
Feb 07, 2023	87	South Carolina	W	74-70	64%
Feb 11, 2023	10	@ Tennessee	L	63-75	18%
Feb 14, 2023	21	@ Auburn	L	69-78	24%
Feb 18, 2023	39	Texas A&M	L	68-69	49%
Feb 21, 2023	64	Mississippi St.	W	69-67	58%
Feb 25, 2023	106	@ Georgia	W	75-74	52%
Mar 01, 2023	47	@ LSU	L	69-74	33%
Mar 04, 2023	58	Mississippi	W	69-67	55%
Projected Record						17 - 14	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0		1.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			3.2	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.6	1.6	1.3	0.4	0.1					4.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.6	2.1	1.9	0.4	0.0						5.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.2	2.2	0.6	0.0							5.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.4	3.0	0.9	0.0								6.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	2.0	3.7	1.4	0.1									7.4	7th
8th							0.1	1.6	4.3	2.1	0.2										8.4	8th
9th						0.1	1.5	4.3	2.8	0.4	0.0										9.0	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	1.1	4.0	3.7	0.8	0.0											9.7	10th
11th				0.1	1.0	3.6	3.9	1.1	0.1												9.7	11th
12th			0.1	1.2	3.7	4.1	1.4	0.1													10.5	12th
13th		0.3	1.5	3.4	3.4	1.2	0.1														10.0	13th
14th	0.8	2.1	2.9	2.2	0.7	0.1	0.0														8.7	14th

Total	0.8	2.3	4.5	6.8	8.9	10.3	11.0	11.0	10.4	9.1	7.5	5.9	4.7	3.1	1.9	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	93.4%	0.2		0.1	0.0
16-2	79.6%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
15-3	55.3%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	25.6%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	5.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.9%	1.9		1.0	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	29.2%	70.8%	1.1		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.2%		100.0%	23.2%	76.8%	1.5		0.1	0.1	0.0																100.0%
16-2	0.5%		100.0%	17.8%	82.2%	2.1		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0														100.0%
15-3	1.0%		100.0%	15.1%	84.9%	3.1		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0								100.0%
14-4	1.9%		99.5%	11.6%	87.9%	4.2		0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.4%
13-5	3.1%		96.4%	9.9%	86.5%	5.6		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		96.1%
12-6	4.7%		91.2%	8.2%	83.0%	6.9		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0					0.4		90.4%
11-7	5.9%		77.6%	6.2%	71.4%	8.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.0	0.9	0.7	0.3	0.0					1.3		76.1%
10-8	7.5%		58.0%	5.2%	52.8%	9.0					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.0	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0				3.2		55.7%
9-9	9.1%		35.0%	4.4%	30.6%	9.8						0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0			5.9		32.0%
8-10	10.4%		12.7%	3.0%	9.7%	10.7							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.1		10.0%
7-11	11.0%		4.8%	2.5%	2.2%	12.1							0.0			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.4		2.3%
6-12	11.0%		1.9%	1.7%	0.3%	14.5											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	10.8		0.3%
5-13	10.3%		1.1%	1.1%	0.0%	15.6													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	10.1		0.0%
4-14	8.9%		0.8%	0.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	8.8
3-15	6.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.7
2-16	4.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
1-17	2.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
0-18	0.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.8

Total	100%		25.4%	3.4%	22.0%	7.6		0.5	0.8	1.4	1.6	2.1	2.2	2.9	3.4	3.3	3.3	2.6	0.7	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	74.6		22.8%