Preseason Rankings
Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#241
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.8#122
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#279
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#170
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.5% 57.2% 34.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.6 15.4
.500 or above 69.4% 93.0% 66.7%
.500 or above in Conference 95.4% 99.2% 95.0%
Conference Champion 41.0% 62.3% 38.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four11.5% 7.1% 12.0%
First Round30.4% 53.4% 27.7%
Second Round1.3% 3.9% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Away) - 10.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 21 - 8
Quad 415 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 83   @ San Francisco L 66-79 10%    
  Nov 09, 2022 17   @ Texas Tech L 56-77 3%    
  Nov 13, 2022 61   Arizona St. L 64-73 21%    
  Nov 15, 2022 122   Oral Roberts L 76-80 38%    
  Nov 16, 2022 5   @ Houston L 53-78 2%    
  Nov 18, 2022 21   @ Auburn L 64-84 4%    
  Nov 20, 2022 172   @ Samford L 72-78 30%    
  Nov 28, 2022 6   @ Kansas L 61-85 2%    
  Dec 17, 2022 270   N.C. A&T W 71-69 58%    
  Dec 18, 2022 328   Hampton W 76-69 73%    
  Dec 22, 2022 94   @ Wichita St. L 63-75 16%    
  Jan 02, 2023 279   Southern W 74-68 69%    
  Jan 04, 2023 318   Grambling St. W 75-66 77%    
  Jan 07, 2023 360   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-61 87%    
  Jan 09, 2023 363   @ Mississippi Valley W 83-65 93%    
  Jan 14, 2023 350   Alcorn St. W 77-63 87%    
  Jan 16, 2023 308   Jackson St. W 68-59 75%    
  Jan 21, 2023 341   @ Alabama A&M W 68-62 69%    
  Jan 23, 2023 354   @ Alabama St. W 75-65 79%    
  Jan 28, 2023 285   Prairie View W 77-70 71%    
  Feb 04, 2023 351   Florida A&M W 73-58 88%    
  Feb 06, 2023 353   Bethune-Cookman W 76-60 90%    
  Feb 11, 2023 318   @ Grambling St. W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 13, 2023 279   @ Southern W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 18, 2023 363   Mississippi Valley W 86-62 97%    
  Feb 20, 2023 360   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-58 94%    
  Feb 25, 2023 308   @ Jackson St. W 65-62 58%    
  Feb 27, 2023 350   @ Alcorn St. W 74-66 74%    
  Mar 04, 2023 285   @ Prairie View W 74-73 53%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 3.6 8.6 12.3 10.4 5.2 41.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 4.7 8.1 5.6 1.5 0.0 21.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.0 5.5 2.4 0.3 13.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.1 3.6 1.2 0.1 9.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.4 0.7 0.0 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.1 3.2 5.1 7.2 9.6 12.2 14.2 14.5 13.9 10.4 5.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 5.2    5.2
17-1 99.9% 10.4    9.7 0.6
16-2 88.9% 12.3    9.4 2.8 0.1
15-3 59.6% 8.6    4.6 3.4 0.6 0.0
14-4 25.5% 3.6    1.1 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.0% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 41.0% 41.0 30.2 8.8 1.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 5.2% 84.2% 84.1% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.8 0.3%
17-1 10.4% 71.0% 71.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.8 1.9 3.0
16-2 13.9% 58.8% 58.8% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.9 3.7 5.7
15-3 14.5% 46.0% 46.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.4 7.8
14-4 14.2% 30.8% 30.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.6 9.8
13-5 12.2% 22.6% 22.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.5 9.4
12-6 9.6% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 8.1
11-7 7.2% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8 6.4
10-8 5.1% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.3 4.8
9-9 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.1 3.1
8-10 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 2.1
7-11 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3
6-12 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 36.5% 36.5% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 5.0 9.6 19.3 63.5 0.0%