Preseason Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#279
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.5#42
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#312
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#215
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.1% 37.6% 17.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 59.8% 89.3% 56.8%
.500 or above in Conference 88.7% 97.6% 87.8%
Conference Champion 25.4% 46.5% 23.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four7.8% 8.0% 7.8%
First Round14.6% 33.3% 12.7%
Second Round0.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Away) - 9.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 21 - 8
Quad 414 - 614 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 105   @ UNLV L 63-77 9%    
  Nov 11, 2022 12   @ Arizona L 68-93 1%    
  Nov 16, 2022 44   @ St. Mary's L 56-76 4%    
  Nov 18, 2022 128   @ California L 60-72 15%    
  Nov 25, 2022 297   Loyola Maryland W 69-67 56%    
  Dec 02, 2022 121   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-79 14%    
  Dec 13, 2022 27   @ Xavier L 64-86 3%    
  Dec 16, 2022 223   @ Youngstown St. L 71-78 29%    
  Dec 18, 2022 60   @ UAB L 67-85 7%    
  Dec 21, 2022 316   @ SE Louisiana L 77-78 50%    
  Jan 02, 2023 241   @ Texas Southern L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 04, 2023 285   @ Prairie View L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 07, 2023 351   Florida A&M W 74-62 83%    
  Jan 09, 2023 353   Bethune-Cookman W 76-63 85%    
  Jan 14, 2023 318   Grambling St. W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 21, 2023 360   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-64 81%    
  Jan 23, 2023 363   @ Mississippi Valley W 84-69 88%    
  Jan 28, 2023 350   Alcorn St. W 78-67 82%    
  Jan 30, 2023 308   Jackson St. W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 04, 2023 341   @ Alabama A&M W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 06, 2023 354   @ Alabama St. W 76-69 71%    
  Feb 11, 2023 285   Prairie View W 77-73 62%    
  Feb 13, 2023 241   Texas Southern L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 18, 2023 318   Grambling St. W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 25, 2023 353   Bethune-Cookman W 76-63 85%    
  Feb 27, 2023 351   @ Florida A&M W 71-65 68%    
  Mar 02, 2023 354   Alabama St. W 79-66 85%    
  Mar 04, 2023 341   Alabama A&M W 72-63 77%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 6.2 7.7 5.8 2.2 25.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.8 7.1 4.9 1.3 0.0 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.0 5.8 2.4 0.3 15.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 4.4 4.2 1.4 0.1 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 3.2 0.9 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.9 4.4 5.9 7.9 10.0 11.4 12.7 12.4 11.4 9.0 5.8 2.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.2    2.2
17-1 99.7% 5.8    5.4 0.4
16-2 85.4% 7.7    5.5 2.0 0.1
15-3 54.2% 6.2    3.1 2.5 0.5 0.0
14-4 22.9% 2.9    0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.2% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 25.4% 25.4 17.2 6.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.2% 74.4% 74.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.6
17-1 5.8% 57.6% 57.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.0 2.5
16-2 9.0% 42.5% 42.5% 15.4 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.0 5.2
15-3 11.4% 31.3% 31.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.6 7.8
14-4 12.4% 22.3% 22.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.4 9.7
13-5 12.7% 15.0% 15.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7 10.8
12-6 11.4% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0 10.3
11-7 10.0% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.4
10-8 7.9% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.7
9-9 5.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 5.8
8-10 4.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.4
7-11 2.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.9
6-12 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.1% 19.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.5 12.0 80.9 0.0%