IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-16.4	#353
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.8	#248
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-8.9	#351

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.5	#350

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	8.3%	1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	16.0	15.9

.500 or above	11.3%	52.4%	11.2%
.500 or above in Conference	29.5%	70.5%	29.4%
Conference Champion	1.0%	11.8%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	10.4%	2.0%	10.4%

First Four	0.8%	6.3%	0.8%
First Round	0.4%	2.0%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 4	9 - 14	9 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	29	@ Iowa	L	59-91	0.1%
Nov 10, 2022	13	@ Indiana	L	51-86	0.1%
Nov 21, 2022	335	@ Charleston Southern	L	67-75	24%
Nov 26, 2022	324	Idaho St.	L	62-68	30%
Nov 27, 2022	338	Northwestern St.	L	72-77	35%
Dec 01, 2022	362	Chicago St.	W	72-64	76%
Dec 10, 2022	243	@ North Florida	L	63-79	10%
Dec 16, 2022	348	@ Incarnate Word	L	65-71	32%
Dec 18, 2022	249	@ Texas San Antonio	L	63-78	10%
Dec 22, 2022	243	North Florida	L	66-76	21%
Dec 29, 2022	18	@ Illinois	L	52-86	0.3%
Jan 02, 2023	351	@ Florida A&M	L	63-67	37%
Jan 07, 2023	318	@ Grambling St.	L	64-74	21%
Jan 09, 2023	279	@ Southern	L	63-76	15%
Jan 14, 2023	363	Mississippi Valley	W	78-67	81%
Jan 16, 2023	360	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	70-63	71%
Jan 21, 2023	308	@ Jackson St.	L	57-68	20%
Jan 23, 2023	350	@ Alcorn St.	L	66-71	35%
Jan 28, 2023	354	Alabama St.	W	70-67	60%
Jan 30, 2023	341	Alabama A&M	L	64-65	47%
Feb 04, 2023	285	@ Prairie View	L	66-78	17%
Feb 06, 2023	241	@ Texas Southern	L	60-76	10%
Feb 11, 2023	350	Alcorn St.	W	69-68	54%
Feb 13, 2023	308	Jackson St.	L	60-65	36%
Feb 18, 2023	341	@ Alabama A&M	L	61-68	30%
Feb 20, 2023	354	@ Alabama St.	L	67-70	41%
Feb 25, 2023	279	@ Southern	L	63-76	15%
Feb 27, 2023	318	Grambling St.	L	67-71	38%
Mar 04, 2023	351	Florida A&M	W	66-64	56%
Projected Record						9 - 20	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.0				2.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.8	1.6	1.0	0.2	0.0					3.7	3rd
4th										0.2	1.3	2.3	1.5	0.2	0.0						5.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	1.7	3.3	1.7	0.3	0.0							7.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.2	4.1	2.1	0.3	0.0								9.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.7	5.0	2.7	0.4	0.0									11.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.5	3.3	5.4	3.0	0.4	0.0										12.7	8th
9th				0.0	1.0	4.1	5.8	2.9	0.4	0.0											14.3	9th
10th			0.2	1.9	4.7	5.4	2.4	0.3	0.0												14.9	10th
11th		0.5	2.4	4.2	3.7	1.3	0.2	0.0													12.4	11th
12th	0.6	1.6	2.1	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0														5.9	12th

Total	0.6	2.1	4.7	7.4	9.7	11.4	12.2	11.6	10.8	9.1	7.2	5.2	3.8	2.1	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	88.6%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	48.1%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	22.6%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		56.5%	56.5%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.1%		34.1%	34.1%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.2%		21.5%	21.5%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.6%		19.9%	19.9%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5
14-4	1.2%		12.5%	12.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	1.1
13-5	2.1%		7.4%	7.4%		16.0																	0.2	2.0
12-6	3.8%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.2	3.6
11-7	5.2%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.1	5.1
10-8	7.2%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	7.1
9-9	9.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.0
8-10	10.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
7-11	11.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
6-12	12.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.2
5-13	11.4%																							11.4
4-14	9.7%																							9.7
3-15	7.4%																							7.4
2-16	4.7%																							4.7
1-17	2.1%																							2.1
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	15.9															0.0	0.0	1.0	99.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%