Preseason Rankings
Bryant
America East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#163
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace80.0#5
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#100
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#262
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.6% 26.9% 14.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.4 14.4
.500 or above 72.8% 84.6% 56.8%
.500 or above in Conference 88.2% 92.9% 81.9%
Conference Champion 26.4% 32.8% 17.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.5% 1.8%
First Four2.1% 1.7% 2.6%
First Round20.6% 26.0% 13.3%
Second Round2.4% 3.5% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Away) - 57.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 413 - 416 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 257   @ Dartmouth W 76-74 57%    
  Nov 17, 2022 125   @ Florida Atlantic L 77-83 30%    
  Nov 19, 2022 224   @ Florida International L 79-80 50%    
  Nov 21, 2022 229   Detroit Mercy W 81-78 60%    
  Nov 26, 2022 52   @ Syracuse L 76-89 14%    
  Dec 02, 2022 240   Brown W 82-76 71%    
  Dec 04, 2022 53   @ Cincinnati L 74-87 15%    
  Dec 06, 2022 82   @ Tulane L 77-87 21%    
  Dec 09, 2022 258   Stony Brook W 86-78 75%    
  Dec 11, 2022 227   @ Manhattan W 82-81 50%    
  Dec 17, 2022 100   Liberty L 74-79 34%    
  Dec 22, 2022 118   Towson L 76-77 49%    
  Dec 31, 2022 323   Binghamton W 87-74 86%    
  Jan 05, 2023 104   @ Vermont L 73-81 27%    
  Jan 08, 2023 236   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 85-79 70%    
  Jan 11, 2023 300   Albany W 80-69 81%    
  Jan 14, 2023 329   @ New Hampshire W 76-68 74%    
  Jan 19, 2023 325   NJIT W 83-70 86%    
  Jan 22, 2023 238   @ Umass Lowell W 80-79 51%    
  Jan 28, 2023 323   @ Binghamton W 84-77 71%    
  Feb 01, 2023 337   Maine W 81-66 88%    
  Feb 04, 2023 329   New Hampshire W 79-65 87%    
  Feb 08, 2023 300   @ Albany W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 11, 2023 236   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 83-82 51%    
  Feb 15, 2023 238   Umass Lowell W 82-76 69%    
  Feb 22, 2023 325   @ NJIT W 80-73 72%    
  Feb 25, 2023 104   Vermont L 76-78 45%    
  Feb 28, 2023 337   @ Maine W 78-69 76%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.9 8.3 6.6 2.5 26.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 6.0 9.3 7.1 2.4 27.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.3 5.9 2.3 0.3 18.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.7 0.6 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.2 5.0 6.9 9.4 11.6 13.2 14.0 13.2 10.7 6.6 2.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 2.5    2.5
15-1 100.0% 6.6    5.9 0.7
14-2 77.6% 8.3    5.7 2.6 0.0
13-3 44.3% 5.9    2.8 2.6 0.4
12-4 17.3% 2.4    0.7 1.2 0.4 0.0
11-5 4.3% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 26.4% 26.4 17.7 7.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 2.5% 73.0% 70.0% 3.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 9.9%
15-1 6.6% 55.7% 54.3% 1.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.9 2.9%
14-2 10.7% 42.2% 41.9% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 6.2 0.5%
13-3 13.2% 29.9% 29.9% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.3 9.3 0.0%
12-4 14.0% 22.1% 22.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 10.9
11-5 13.2% 15.6% 15.6% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 11.1
10-6 11.6% 10.5% 10.5% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 10.4
9-7 9.4% 7.4% 7.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 8.8
8-8 6.9% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 6.6
7-9 5.0% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.8
6-10 3.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 3.2
5-11 1.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.8
4-12 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-13 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 21.6% 21.4% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 3.0 5.0 4.9 4.1 3.3 78.4 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.6 21.5 28.0 28.0 17.2 5.4