Preseason Rankings
Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#290
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.5#107
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#298
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#283
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.1% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 15.0% 26.2% 7.0%
.500 or above in Conference 23.1% 33.9% 15.5%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 27.2% 17.3% 34.2%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
First Round1.6% 2.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 47 - 79 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 223   Youngstown St. L 73-75 42%    
  Nov 12, 2022 103   St. Bonaventure L 65-75 19%    
  Nov 16, 2022 215   Cleveland St. L 71-74 40%    
  Nov 22, 2022 217   @ Cornell L 74-83 22%    
  Nov 27, 2022 133   @ Buffalo L 71-84 13%    
  Dec 02, 2022 244   @ Siena L 66-73 27%    
  Dec 04, 2022 101   @ Iona L 66-82 10%    
  Dec 10, 2022 108   @ Toledo L 68-83 10%    
  Dec 18, 2022 66   @ Penn St. L 56-75 6%    
  Dec 21, 2022 203   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 73-82 23%    
  Dec 30, 2022 218   Rider L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 01, 2023 267   Mount St. Mary's W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 06, 2023 227   @ Manhattan L 69-77 26%    
  Jan 08, 2023 145   @ St. Peter's L 60-72 16%    
  Jan 13, 2023 296   Marist W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 15, 2023 244   Siena L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 20, 2023 222   @ Fairfield L 63-71 25%    
  Jan 22, 2023 221   @ Quinnipiac L 71-79 25%    
  Jan 29, 2023 227   Manhattan L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 03, 2023 239   @ Niagara L 63-71 28%    
  Feb 05, 2023 296   @ Marist L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 10, 2023 101   Iona L 69-79 22%    
  Feb 12, 2023 221   Quinnipiac L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 17, 2023 218   @ Rider L 67-76 25%    
  Feb 19, 2023 267   @ Mount St. Mary's L 63-68 34%    
  Feb 24, 2023 145   St. Peter's L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 26, 2023 222   Fairfield L 66-68 43%    
  Mar 04, 2023 239   Niagara L 66-68 45%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.2 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.6 3.0 0.8 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.3 3.2 0.8 0.1 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.7 5.2 3.0 0.8 0.0 14.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.1 4.9 2.4 0.6 0.0 16.9 10th
11th 1.4 3.7 5.2 4.9 3.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 19.9 11th
Total 1.4 3.8 6.0 8.1 9.5 10.4 10.8 9.8 9.0 8.0 6.7 5.2 3.9 2.9 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 92.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 79.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-4 60.3% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 27.9% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 44.6% 40.2% 4.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5%
18-2 0.2% 30.8% 29.4% 1.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9%
17-3 0.3% 25.0% 22.7% 2.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.9%
16-4 0.7% 14.3% 14.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
15-5 1.2% 12.8% 12.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
14-6 1.9% 8.4% 8.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
13-7 2.9% 9.3% 9.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
12-8 3.9% 5.6% 5.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.7
11-9 5.2% 4.5% 4.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.0
10-10 6.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.5
9-11 8.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.9
8-12 9.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.9
7-13 9.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.7
6-14 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.8
5-15 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.4
4-16 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.5
3-17 8.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.0
2-18 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.0
1-19 3.8% 3.8
0-20 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%