Preseason Rankings
Charleston Southern
Big South
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#335
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.3#70
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#327
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#322
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 11.3% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.0 15.6
.500 or above 8.7% 49.0% 8.4%
.500 or above in Conference 19.3% 55.8% 19.0%
Conference Champion 1.1% 8.0% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.4% 7.9% 29.6%
First Four0.6% 2.2% 0.6%
First Round0.9% 10.5% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio St. (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 47 - 98 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 36   @ Ohio St. L 59-85 1%    
  Nov 16, 2022 82   @ Tulane L 64-86 3%    
  Nov 21, 2022 353   Bethune-Cookman W 75-67 76%    
  Nov 25, 2022 34   @ Virginia Tech L 56-82 1%    
  Nov 30, 2022 265   The Citadel L 77-80 41%    
  Dec 02, 2022 142   @ South Florida L 59-75 9%    
  Dec 05, 2022 242   Kennesaw St. L 71-76 34%    
  Dec 14, 2022 276   @ Tennessee St. L 70-78 25%    
  Dec 17, 2022 160   @ Jacksonville L 58-73 12%    
  Dec 29, 2022 237   @ Gardner-Webb L 65-76 18%    
  Dec 31, 2022 345   South Carolina Upstate W 76-71 64%    
  Jan 04, 2023 152   Longwood L 68-77 23%    
  Jan 07, 2023 310   @ Presbyterian L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 11, 2023 255   High Point L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 14, 2023 293   @ Radford L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 18, 2023 211   UNC Asheville L 70-77 30%    
  Jan 21, 2023 256   Campbell L 64-68 39%    
  Jan 25, 2023 174   @ Winthrop L 68-82 13%    
  Jan 28, 2023 152   @ Longwood L 65-80 12%    
  Feb 01, 2023 237   Gardner-Webb L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 04, 2023 255   @ High Point L 66-76 22%    
  Feb 08, 2023 345   @ South Carolina Upstate L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 11, 2023 293   Radford L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 15, 2023 256   @ Campbell L 61-71 22%    
  Feb 18, 2023 174   Winthrop L 71-79 26%    
  Feb 22, 2023 211   @ UNC Asheville L 67-80 16%    
  Feb 25, 2023 310   Presbyterian W 69-68 52%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.7 4.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.2 1.5 4.3 4.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.8 4.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 16.4 8th
9th 0.3 2.3 5.9 6.7 4.1 1.1 0.1 20.6 9th
10th 2.3 5.2 6.3 4.6 2.1 0.5 0.0 20.9 10th
Total 2.3 5.5 8.6 11.1 12.1 11.9 11.1 9.8 8.3 6.3 5.0 3.2 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 94.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 71.3% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 46.0% 0.3    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 57.7% 57.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 34.4% 34.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 31.3% 31.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 22.9% 22.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.7% 14.9% 14.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.3% 13.6% 13.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
12-6 2.2% 6.1% 6.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.1
11-7 3.2% 4.4% 4.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.1
10-8 5.0% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.8
9-9 6.3% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.2
8-10 8.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.2
7-11 9.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.7
6-12 11.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.1
5-13 11.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.9
4-14 12.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.1
3-15 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.1
2-16 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.6
1-17 5.5% 5.5
0-18 2.3% 2.3
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%