Preseason Rankings
Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#153
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.3#206
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#156
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#177
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.1% 17.3% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.0 12.6 13.9
.500 or above 63.9% 78.5% 47.6%
.500 or above in Conference 74.2% 83.2% 64.0%
Conference Champion 15.1% 20.5% 8.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.7% 3.7%
First Four1.2% 1.2% 1.3%
First Round12.5% 16.8% 7.7%
Second Round2.1% 3.3% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Away) - 52.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 55 - 9
Quad 411 - 316 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 231   @ Air Force W 66-65 53%    
  Nov 18, 2022 7   @ Duke L 64-84 4%    
  Nov 25, 2022 113   Colgate L 71-74 40%    
  Nov 26, 2022 327   Hartford W 76-65 83%    
  Nov 27, 2022 150   @ Penn L 73-76 39%    
  Dec 01, 2022 217   Cornell W 81-75 69%    
  Dec 03, 2022 81   Davidson L 68-71 40%    
  Dec 11, 2022 244   Siena W 72-65 73%    
  Dec 16, 2022 165   @ Princeton L 72-74 42%    
  Dec 19, 2022 218   @ Rider W 71-70 51%    
  Dec 21, 2022 144   Ohio W 72-70 57%    
  Dec 29, 2022 141   Hofstra W 76-74 57%    
  Dec 31, 2022 302   Elon W 75-63 84%    
  Jan 07, 2023 151   @ College of Charleston L 78-81 40%    
  Jan 11, 2023 118   Towson W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 14, 2023 141   @ Hofstra L 73-77 38%    
  Jan 16, 2023 199   @ Northeastern L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 19, 2023 295   William & Mary W 79-67 83%    
  Jan 21, 2023 201   @ Drexel L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 26, 2023 328   @ Hampton W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 28, 2023 199   Northeastern W 69-64 66%    
  Feb 02, 2023 260   @ Monmouth W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 04, 2023 151   College of Charleston W 81-78 59%    
  Feb 08, 2023 201   Drexel W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 13, 2023 258   Stony Brook W 78-69 76%    
  Feb 16, 2023 118   @ Towson L 66-72 33%    
  Feb 18, 2023 179   UNC Wilmington W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 23, 2023 270   @ N.C. A&T W 73-69 61%    
  Feb 25, 2023 302   @ Elon W 72-66 69%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 4.4 3.9 2.3 0.8 15.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.1 4.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.5 4.1 1.3 0.1 11.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.6 3.8 1.0 0.1 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.8 3.7 0.9 0.1 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.8 1.1 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.5 1.1 0.1 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.1 1.2 0.1 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.5 1.2 0.1 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.2 4.7 6.3 7.8 9.4 10.4 11.2 10.8 10.1 8.4 6.5 4.3 2.3 0.8 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
17-1 99.5% 2.3    2.2 0.1
16-2 90.4% 3.9    3.1 0.7 0.0
15-3 67.2% 4.4    2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 32.7% 2.8    0.9 1.2 0.6 0.1
13-5 8.4% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.1% 15.1 9.6 4.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.8% 73.8% 55.0% 18.8% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 41.8%
17-1 2.3% 56.4% 47.2% 9.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 17.3%
16-2 4.3% 42.6% 38.8% 3.8% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5 6.2%
15-3 6.5% 30.5% 29.3% 1.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 4.5 1.8%
14-4 8.4% 21.9% 21.8% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.6 0.2%
13-5 10.1% 16.2% 16.2% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 8.5 0.0%
12-6 10.8% 12.7% 12.7% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 9.4
11-7 11.2% 8.4% 8.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 10.3
10-8 10.4% 6.7% 6.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 9.7
9-9 9.4% 4.7% 4.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.0
8-10 7.8% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.6
7-11 6.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.1
6-12 4.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.7
5-13 3.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-14 2.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-15 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-16 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.1% 12.5% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.7 3.1 2.3 1.6 1.4 86.9 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.8 22.1 23.5 23.5 16.2 14.7