Preseason Rankings
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#330
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.8#307
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#314
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 21.7% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.1 15.6
.500 or above 23.3% 75.7% 23.2%
.500 or above in Conference 44.6% 88.6% 44.4%
Conference Champion 4.3% 24.0% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 0.8% 10.9%
First Four1.8% 4.0% 1.8%
First Round2.7% 20.2% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 411 - 1111 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 18   @ Illinois L 55-84 0.3%   
  Nov 10, 2022 180   Illinois St. L 66-74 25%    
  Nov 13, 2022 263   @ Central Michigan L 66-74 23%    
  Nov 16, 2022 36   @ Ohio St. L 55-81 1%    
  Nov 25, 2022 144   @ Ohio L 62-77 10%    
  Nov 26, 2022 354   Alabama St. W 72-66 68%    
  Nov 30, 2022 294   Northern Illinois W 68-67 50%    
  Dec 07, 2022 200   Ball St. L 69-76 29%    
  Dec 10, 2022 288   Western Illinois L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 17, 2022 333   @ IUPUI L 63-66 42%    
  Dec 21, 2022 29   @ Iowa L 61-88 2%    
  Dec 29, 2022 355   Lindenwood W 74-65 76%    
  Dec 31, 2022 339   Southern Indiana W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 05, 2023 305   @ Tennessee Tech L 69-75 33%    
  Jan 07, 2023 187   @ Morehead St. L 58-71 14%    
  Jan 12, 2023 326   SIU Edwardsville W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 14, 2023 261   Arkansas Little Rock L 67-70 42%    
  Jan 19, 2023 276   @ Tennessee St. L 66-74 27%    
  Jan 21, 2023 352   @ Tennessee Martin W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 26, 2023 339   @ Southern Indiana L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 28, 2023 281   Southeast Missouri St. L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 02, 2023 355   @ Lindenwood W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 04, 2023 276   Tennessee St. L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 09, 2023 352   Tennessee Martin W 76-68 73%    
  Feb 11, 2023 326   @ SIU Edwardsville L 67-71 39%    
  Feb 16, 2023 281   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 18, 2023 261   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 64-73 25%    
  Feb 23, 2023 187   Morehead St. L 61-68 28%    
  Feb 25, 2023 305   Tennessee Tech W 73-72 52%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.3 1.7 0.6 0.1 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.0 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.1 3.5 1.2 0.1 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.2 3.4 0.8 0.1 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.3 5.4 3.0 0.6 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.2 5.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.3 4.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.3 3.7 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.4 1.2 2.1 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.8 10th
Total 0.4 1.2 2.8 4.5 6.9 8.3 9.9 10.7 10.7 10.6 9.4 7.8 6.2 4.5 3.0 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 88.4% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
15-3 66.6% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
14-4 36.5% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.1% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 58.0% 58.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 47.6% 47.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 36.2% 36.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6
15-3 1.8% 27.0% 27.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.3
14-4 3.0% 18.0% 18.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.5
13-5 4.5% 13.2% 13.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.9
12-6 6.2% 7.9% 7.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.7
11-7 7.8% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 7.4
10-8 9.4% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.0
9-9 10.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.4
8-10 10.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.6
7-11 10.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.7
6-12 9.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.8
5-13 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.3
4-14 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-15 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.5
2-16 2.8% 2.8
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.6 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%