Preseason Rankings
Illinois-Chicago
Missouri Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#247
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.9#78
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#233
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#247
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 4.7% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 12.9 14.4
.500 or above 32.2% 61.0% 26.4%
.500 or above in Conference 25.4% 44.9% 21.5%
Conference Champion 1.5% 4.0% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 18.4% 7.7% 20.5%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
First Round1.9% 4.3% 1.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Home) - 16.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 74 - 13
Quad 49 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 54   Loyola Chicago L 64-74 17%    
  Nov 14, 2022 209   Jacksonville St. W 72-71 53%    
  Nov 19, 2022 202   @ Fordham L 67-72 32%    
  Nov 21, 2022 359   Stonehill W 79-63 91%    
  Nov 22, 2022 317   Holy Cross W 77-71 68%    
  Nov 26, 2022 347   @ Green Bay W 73-66 71%    
  Nov 30, 2022 131   Missouri St. L 73-76 39%    
  Dec 03, 2022 74   @ Drake L 66-81 11%    
  Dec 10, 2022 262   @ Western Michigan L 70-71 46%    
  Dec 13, 2022 285   Prairie View W 80-73 70%    
  Dec 18, 2022 199   Northeastern W 69-68 52%    
  Dec 20, 2022 85   @ Northwestern L 66-80 14%    
  Dec 28, 2022 180   Illinois St. L 74-75 49%    
  Dec 31, 2022 117   @ Bradley L 68-78 20%    
  Jan 04, 2023 115   Belmont L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 07, 2023 161   @ Indiana St. L 72-79 29%    
  Jan 10, 2023 74   Drake L 69-78 24%    
  Jan 14, 2023 114   @ Murray St. L 67-77 21%    
  Jan 17, 2023 212   @ Valparaiso L 68-73 35%    
  Jan 21, 2023 132   Northern Iowa L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 24, 2023 131   @ Missouri St. L 70-79 24%    
  Jan 29, 2023 117   Bradley L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 01, 2023 180   @ Illinois St. L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 04, 2023 313   Evansville W 72-63 75%    
  Feb 08, 2023 138   @ Southern Illinois L 61-70 25%    
  Feb 11, 2023 115   @ Belmont L 71-81 21%    
  Feb 15, 2023 161   Indiana St. L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 19, 2023 212   Valparaiso W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 23, 2023 313   @ Evansville W 69-66 58%    
  Feb 26, 2023 138   Southern Illinois L 64-67 42%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 4.8 2.6 0.5 0.0 12.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 4.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 14.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 3.8 5.3 4.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 17.0 11th
12th 0.9 2.7 3.5 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 12.6 12th
Total 0.9 2.8 5.0 7.3 9.1 10.4 10.6 10.7 9.3 8.5 7.1 5.8 4.4 3.2 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 97.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
17-3 75.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 47.5% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 25.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 57.7% 38.5% 19.2% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.3%
19-1 0.0% 80.2% 49.4% 30.9% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 61.0%
18-2 0.2% 48.2% 22.7% 25.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 33.0%
17-3 0.4% 34.0% 24.3% 9.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 12.8%
16-4 0.8% 16.2% 13.4% 2.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.2%
15-5 1.3% 13.1% 12.7% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.4%
14-6 2.2% 9.4% 9.3% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.1%
13-7 3.2% 6.7% 6.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.9
12-8 4.4% 5.3% 5.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.1
11-9 5.8% 3.4% 3.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.6
10-10 7.1% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.9
9-11 8.5% 2.0% 2.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.3
8-12 9.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.2
7-13 10.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.6
6-14 10.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 10.6
5-15 10.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 10.3
4-16 9.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-17 7.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.3
2-18 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
1-19 2.8% 2.8
0-20 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 2.2% 2.1% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 97.8 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%