Preseason Rankings
Lamar
Southland
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#301
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.3#231
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#302
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#281
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.1% 37.4% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.7 15.5
.500 or above 51.9% 93.2% 51.5%
.500 or above in Conference 65.3% 94.0% 65.0%
Conference Champion 13.2% 40.0% 12.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 0.2% 6.4%
First Four5.0% 6.9% 4.9%
First Round8.2% 34.5% 8.0%
Second Round0.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 5
Quad 413 - 914 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 19   @ TCU L 54-80 1%    
  Nov 18, 2022 355   Lindenwood W 75-66 77%    
  Nov 19, 2022 268   Western Carolina L 71-74 42%    
  Nov 20, 2022 331   @ McNeese St. L 73-74 49%    
  Nov 27, 2022 95   @ SMU L 62-79 7%    
  Dec 01, 2022 168   Texas St. L 62-67 33%    
  Dec 10, 2022 299   @ Southern Miss L 68-71 39%    
  Dec 13, 2022 299   Southern Miss W 71-68 59%    
  Dec 17, 2022 259   @ Louisiana Monroe L 68-74 31%    
  Dec 20, 2022 228   Pacific L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 31, 2022 331   McNeese St. W 76-70 68%    
  Jan 05, 2023 286   @ New Orleans L 73-77 38%    
  Jan 07, 2023 316   @ SE Louisiana L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 12, 2023 220   Nicholls St. L 71-74 41%    
  Jan 14, 2023 343   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 19, 2023 344   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-66 73%    
  Jan 21, 2023 348   Incarnate Word W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 26, 2023 343   Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-64 73%    
  Jan 28, 2023 338   @ Northwestern St. W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 02, 2023 331   @ McNeese St. L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 04, 2023 338   Northwestern St. W 78-71 70%    
  Feb 09, 2023 348   @ Incarnate Word W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 11, 2023 344   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 16, 2023 298   Houston Christian W 61-58 59%    
  Feb 18, 2023 298   @ Houston Christian L 58-61 40%    
  Feb 23, 2023 316   SE Louisiana W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 25, 2023 286   New Orleans W 76-74 57%    
  Mar 01, 2023 220   @ Nicholls St. L 68-77 24%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.9 3.5 2.8 1.5 0.5 13.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.3 4.6 3.4 1.4 0.2 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.4 4.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.7 3.9 1.2 0.1 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.9 3.2 0.7 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 3.3 4.9 6.4 7.7 8.8 10.3 10.4 10.3 9.4 8.2 6.7 4.9 3.0 1.5 0.5 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 1.5    1.5 0.1
16-2 92.4% 2.8    2.4 0.4
15-3 70.6% 3.5    2.4 1.0 0.1
14-4 43.2% 2.9    1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0
13-5 18.3% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
12-6 4.6% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.2% 13.2 8.6 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 75.9% 75.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.5% 58.8% 58.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6
16-2 3.0% 46.4% 46.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.6
15-3 4.9% 36.7% 36.7% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 3.1
14-4 6.7% 27.5% 27.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 4.9
13-5 8.2% 17.7% 17.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.2 6.7
12-6 9.4% 12.9% 12.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 8.2
11-7 10.3% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.4
10-8 10.4% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 9.9
9-9 10.3% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.9
8-10 8.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 8.6
7-11 7.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.6
6-12 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.3
5-13 4.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.9
4-14 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-16 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 7.4 88.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%