IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Incarnate Word
Southland
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.4	#348
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.0	#292
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.9	#326

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.6	#352

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.5%	4.0%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	18.4%	29.5%	8.3%
.500 or above in Conference	30.8%	41.6%	20.8%
Conference Champion	2.8%	4.4%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	23.6%	15.3%	31.2%

First Four	1.7%	2.5%	0.9%
First Round	1.5%	2.5%	0.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Home) - 47.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 6
Quad 4	9 - 13	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	322	North Dakota	L	71-72	48%
Nov 12, 2022	105	@ UNLV	L	57-78	3%
Nov 19, 2022	212	@ Valparaiso	L	60-75	10%
Nov 25, 2022	257	Dartmouth	L	61-70	23%
Nov 27, 2022	318	Grambling St.	L	68-72	37%
Nov 28, 2022	249	@ Texas San Antonio	L	64-77	15%
Dec 03, 2022	318	@ Grambling St.	L	66-73	28%
Dec 11, 2022	68	@ Kansas St.	L	56-81	2%
Dec 16, 2022	353	Bethune-Cookman	W	71-65	68%
Dec 21, 2022	224	@ Florida International	L	62-76	13%
Dec 31, 2022	343	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	L	67-71	39%
Jan 04, 2023	344	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	68-72	38%
Jan 07, 2023	344	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	71-69	58%
Jan 12, 2023	286	New Orleans	L	74-77	41%
Jan 14, 2023	316	SE Louisiana	L	74-75	46%
Jan 19, 2023	298	@ Houston Christian	L	56-64	25%
Jan 21, 2023	301	@ Lamar	L	64-72	26%
Jan 26, 2023	331	McNeese St.	W	74-73	52%
Jan 28, 2023	220	Nicholls St.	L	68-76	26%
Feb 02, 2023	316	@ SE Louisiana	L	71-78	28%
Feb 04, 2023	286	@ New Orleans	L	71-80	24%
Feb 09, 2023	301	Lamar	L	67-69	44%
Feb 11, 2023	298	Houston Christian	L	59-61	43%
Feb 16, 2023	331	@ McNeese St.	L	71-76	34%
Feb 18, 2023	220	@ Nicholls St.	L	65-79	13%
Feb 23, 2023	338	Northwestern St.	W	75-74	54%
Feb 25, 2023	343	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	70-68	57%
Mar 01, 2023	338	@ Northwestern St.	L	72-77	36%
Projected Record						9 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0		2.8	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.4	1.5	0.9	0.3	0.0				4.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.3	2.5	1.9	0.6	0.1	0.0					6.5	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	1.9	3.2	2.0	0.4	0.0							7.8	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	2.5	3.9	2.1	0.3	0.0								9.3	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.0	4.5	2.2	0.3	0.0									10.7	6th
7th					0.1	1.0	3.9	5.0	2.2	0.2	0.0										12.4	7th
8th				0.2	1.7	4.5	4.9	2.0	0.2												13.6	8th
9th		0.1	0.9	3.2	5.1	4.4	1.5	0.2	0.0												15.3	9th
10th	1.1	3.2	4.7	4.3	2.5	0.8	0.1														16.7	10th

Total	1.1	3.2	5.6	7.7	9.4	10.7	11.0	10.7	9.7	8.4	7.0	5.5	3.9	2.7	1.7	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	90.2%	0.4		0.4	0.1
15-3	70.2%	0.6		0.5	0.2	0.0
14-4	44.5%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	20.6%	0.5		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.8%	2.8		1.6	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		71.2%	71.2%		13.8												0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.1%		47.6%	47.6%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.5%		35.9%	35.9%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3
15-3	0.9%		31.1%	31.1%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6
14-4	1.7%		18.8%	18.8%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	1.4
13-5	2.7%		13.7%	13.7%		15.9																0.0	0.3	2.3
12-6	3.9%		8.2%	8.2%		16.0																0.0	0.3	3.6
11-7	5.5%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																0.0	0.3	5.2
10-8	7.0%		3.5%	3.5%		16.0																	0.2	6.7
9-9	8.4%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																0.0	0.2	8.3
8-10	9.7%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	9.6
7-11	10.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.7
6-12	11.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
5-13	10.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
4-14	9.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
3-15	7.7%																							7.7
2-16	5.6%																							5.6
1-17	3.2%																							3.2
0-18	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		2.5%	2.5%	0.0%	15.8												0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	2.1	97.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%