IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
SE Louisiana
Southland
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.2	#316
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.5	#41
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.6	#256

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.6	#341

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.7%	22.4%	8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	14.9	15.6

.500 or above	30.6%	71.6%	29.2%
.500 or above in Conference	58.5%	85.9%	57.6%
Conference Champion	9.9%	26.6%	9.3%
Last Place in Conference	8.2%	1.5%	8.5%

First Four	4.1%	5.0%	4.1%
First Round	6.3%	19.5%	5.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.7%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Away) - 3.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 9	11 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2022	78	@ Colorado St.	L	65-85	3%
Nov 13, 2022	62	@ Wyoming	L	65-86	3%
Nov 18, 2022	242	Kennesaw St.	L	73-79	30%
Nov 19, 2022	256	Campbell	L	67-72	35%
Nov 20, 2022	183	@ Appalachian St.	L	66-78	16%
Nov 30, 2022	27	@ Xavier	L	67-92	2%
Dec 03, 2022	28	@ Dayton	L	58-83	2%
Dec 15, 2022	220	@ Nicholls St.	L	74-84	20%
Dec 17, 2022	235	Troy	L	73-76	40%
Dec 21, 2022	279	Southern	W	78-77	50%
Dec 30, 2022	72	@ Vanderbilt	L	66-86	5%
Jan 05, 2023	298	Houston Christian	W	67-65	56%
Jan 07, 2023	301	Lamar	W	75-73	57%
Jan 12, 2023	344	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	78-77	52%
Jan 14, 2023	348	@ Incarnate Word	W	75-74	54%
Jan 19, 2023	338	Northwestern St.	W	85-79	67%
Jan 21, 2023	343	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	79-72	70%
Jan 26, 2023	286	New Orleans	W	83-82	54%
Jan 28, 2023	286	@ New Orleans	L	80-85	35%
Feb 02, 2023	348	Incarnate Word	W	78-71	72%
Feb 04, 2023	344	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	81-74	70%
Feb 09, 2023	331	@ McNeese St.	L	80-81	46%
Feb 11, 2023	220	Nicholls St.	L	77-81	38%
Feb 16, 2023	338	@ Northwestern St.	L	82-83	48%
Feb 18, 2023	343	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	W	76-75	52%
Feb 23, 2023	301	@ Lamar	L	72-76	38%
Feb 25, 2023	331	McNeese St.	W	83-78	64%
Mar 01, 2023	298	@ Houston Christian	L	64-68	37%
Projected Record						11 - 17	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	1.3	2.4	2.7	1.8	0.9	0.3		9.9	1st
2nd											0.1	1.3	3.1	4.1	2.8	1.0	0.1				12.4	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.8	4.5	4.1	1.7	0.3	0.0					12.7	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.2	4.7	3.6	1.0	0.1	0.0						12.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.4	4.8	3.1	0.6	0.0								11.3	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	2.6	4.8	2.6	0.4	0.0									10.9	6th
7th					0.0	0.6	2.6	4.2	2.1	0.3	0.0										9.9	7th
8th				0.1	0.8	2.6	3.3	1.5	0.2	0.0											8.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	1.0	2.4	2.4	1.1	0.1	0.0												7.2	9th
10th	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.5	1.1	0.4	0.1														5.3	10th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.5	2.6	4.3	5.9	7.5	8.9	9.7	10.1	10.2	9.9	8.6	7.3	5.5	3.6	2.0	0.9	0.3			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	0.9		0.9	0.0
16-2	92.5%	1.8		1.5	0.3	0.0
15-3	72.7%	2.7		1.8	0.8	0.1
14-4	44.2%	2.4		1.1	1.0	0.2	0.0
13-5	18.3%	1.3		0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0
12-6	4.6%	0.4		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	9.9%	9.9		6.1	3.0	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		69.6%	69.6%		13.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	0.9%		56.2%	56.2%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.4
16-2	2.0%		47.9%	47.9%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	1.0
15-3	3.6%		34.5%	34.5%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	2.4
14-4	5.5%		25.8%	25.8%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	4.1
13-5	7.3%		17.7%	17.7%		15.8															0.0	0.2	1.0	6.0
12-6	8.6%		11.9%	11.9%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.9	7.6
11-7	9.9%		9.1%	9.1%		16.0																0.0	0.9	9.0
10-8	10.2%		5.2%	5.2%		16.0																0.0	0.5	9.7
9-9	10.1%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.3	9.8
8-10	9.7%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	9.6
7-11	8.9%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	8.8
6-12	7.5%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
5-13	5.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.9
4-14	4.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
3-15	2.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.6
2-16	1.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.5
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		8.7%	8.7%	0.0%	15.5												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.8	5.8	91.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%