Preseason Rankings
Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#190
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.5#200
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#235
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#150
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 64.9% 84.8% 64.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 13.9 15.2
.500 or above 91.8% 99.9% 91.6%
.500 or above in Conference 98.6% 100.0% 98.6%
Conference Champion 69.4% 89.7% 69.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four17.9% 4.2% 18.1%
First Round55.7% 82.3% 55.2%
Second Round2.9% 9.2% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 2.1% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 2.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 21 - 5
Quad 416 - 318 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 4   @ Baylor L 60-82 2%    
  Nov 14, 2022 8   @ UCLA L 58-79 3%    
  Nov 17, 2022 260   @ Monmouth W 68-67 55%    
  Nov 19, 2022 341   Alabama A&M W 71-59 85%    
  Nov 29, 2022 5   @ Houston L 54-76 3%    
  Dec 03, 2022 186   @ Old Dominion L 63-66 39%    
  Dec 10, 2022 295   @ William & Mary W 73-69 64%    
  Dec 14, 2022 234   Bowling Green W 80-75 67%    
  Dec 17, 2022 328   Hampton W 77-67 79%    
  Dec 18, 2022 270   N.C. A&T W 72-67 66%    
  Dec 21, 2022 126   @ Nevada L 71-78 29%    
  Jan 07, 2023 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-54 97%    
  Jan 09, 2023 358   @ Delaware St. W 80-65 90%    
  Jan 14, 2023 332   Howard W 82-69 86%    
  Jan 21, 2023 336   @ Coppin St. W 78-70 74%    
  Jan 23, 2023 287   @ Morgan St. W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 28, 2023 356   South Carolina St. W 83-62 95%    
  Jan 30, 2023 340   NC Central W 76-61 88%    
  Feb 04, 2023 328   Hampton W 77-67 78%    
  Feb 11, 2023 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-57 92%    
  Feb 13, 2023 358   Delaware St. W 83-62 96%    
  Feb 18, 2023 287   Morgan St. W 79-69 78%    
  Feb 20, 2023 336   Coppin St. W 81-67 86%    
  Feb 25, 2023 356   @ South Carolina St. W 80-65 88%    
  Feb 27, 2023 340   @ NC Central W 73-64 76%    
  Mar 02, 2023 332   @ Howard W 79-72 72%    
Projected Record 18 - 8 12 - 2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.7 7.4 17.2 23.8 19.1 69.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.9 6.8 3.4 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.2 2.1 0.3 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.2 6.0 9.8 14.5 20.6 23.8 19.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 19.1    19.1
13-1 100.0% 23.8    21.9 1.9
12-2 83.4% 17.2    12.2 4.8 0.1
11-3 51.1% 7.4    3.3 3.4 0.7 0.0
10-4 17.5% 1.7    0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1
9-5 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 69.4% 69.4 57.0 10.9 1.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 19.1% 90.8% 90.8% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.7 5.4 5.3 2.9 1.8
13-1 23.8% 80.6% 80.6% 15.1 0.2 1.0 3.7 6.7 7.5 4.6
12-2 20.6% 67.9% 67.9% 15.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.0 8.6 6.6
11-3 14.5% 54.2% 54.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 6.4 6.7
10-4 9.8% 39.7% 39.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.5 5.9
9-5 6.0% 29.0% 29.0% 16.0 0.1 1.7 4.3
8-6 3.2% 20.0% 20.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 2.6
7-7 1.7% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 0.2 1.5
6-8 0.8% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.1 0.7
5-9 0.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-10 0.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-11 0.1% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 64.9% 64.9% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.9 10.6 17.6 31.5 35.1 0.0%