Preseason Rankings
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#186
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.5#331
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#238
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#134
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 8.8% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.2 15.4
.500 or above 58.1% 58.6% 15.6%
.500 or above in Conference 60.0% 60.4% 23.7%
Conference Champion 9.7% 9.8% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 5.2% 21.6%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 0.7%
First Round8.3% 8.4% 1.2%
Second Round1.3% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 98.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 64 - 9
Quad 410 - 414 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-51 99%    
  Nov 11, 2022 201   @ Drexel L 64-66 42%    
  Nov 17, 2022 34   Virginia Tech L 56-69 14%    
  Nov 26, 2022 192   East Carolina W 68-65 61%    
  Nov 29, 2022 151   @ College of Charleston L 72-77 35%    
  Dec 03, 2022 190   Norfolk St. W 66-63 61%    
  Dec 07, 2022 295   William & Mary W 73-63 80%    
  Dec 10, 2022 237   Gardner-Webb W 67-61 68%    
  Dec 21, 2022 123   George Mason L 64-65 47%    
  Dec 29, 2022 230   Arkansas St. W 69-64 67%    
  Dec 31, 2022 158   Louisiana W 62-60 57%    
  Jan 05, 2023 235   @ Troy L 64-65 49%    
  Jan 07, 2023 251   @ Georgia Southern W 65-64 51%    
  Jan 12, 2023 184   Coastal Carolina W 67-64 59%    
  Jan 14, 2023 159   @ Marshall L 71-75 38%    
  Jan 19, 2023 169   Georgia St. W 67-65 58%    
  Jan 21, 2023 183   Appalachian St. W 64-61 59%    
  Jan 26, 2023 205   @ South Alabama L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 28, 2023 184   @ Coastal Carolina L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 02, 2023 162   James Madison W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 04, 2023 251   Georgia Southern W 67-61 70%    
  Feb 09, 2023 169   @ Georgia St. L 64-68 39%    
  Feb 11, 2023 168   @ Texas St. L 60-64 39%    
  Feb 16, 2023 162   @ James Madison L 68-72 39%    
  Feb 18, 2023 183   @ Appalachian St. L 61-64 40%    
  Feb 22, 2023 299   Southern Miss W 72-61 80%    
  Feb 24, 2023 159   Marshall W 74-72 56%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.8 2.1 1.2 0.3 9.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.5 2.5 0.8 0.1 8.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.6 2.7 0.7 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.2 0.8 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.8 1.1 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.3 1.7 0.1 8.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.6 2.2 0.3 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.1 0.9 0.0 6.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.8 1.2 0.1 6.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.8 13th
14th 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.0 14th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.5 4.1 5.5 7.4 8.6 9.5 10.3 10.5 9.7 8.6 7.3 5.6 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.3 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.8% 1.2    1.1 0.0
16-2 90.7% 2.1    1.7 0.4 0.0
15-3 68.4% 2.8    1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.0% 2.2    0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.2% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.7% 9.7 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 79.0% 53.0% 26.0% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 55.2%
17-1 1.2% 53.8% 42.0% 11.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 20.2%
16-2 2.3% 38.2% 32.0% 6.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 9.2%
15-3 4.1% 29.4% 27.9% 1.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 2.1%
14-4 5.6% 20.7% 20.5% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.2%
13-5 7.3% 15.0% 15.0% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.2 0.0%
12-6 8.6% 11.3% 11.3% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 7.7
11-7 9.7% 7.7% 7.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 8.9
10-8 10.5% 6.3% 6.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 9.8
9-9 10.3% 4.5% 4.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 9.9
8-10 9.5% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.1
7-11 8.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.5
6-12 7.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.3
5-13 5.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-14 4.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.1
3-15 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 8.7% 8.3% 0.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.1 1.5 1.2 1.2 91.3 0.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 95.9% 4.1 13.7 10.3 13.7 24.0 13.7 10.3 3.4 3.4 3.4