Preseason Rankings
Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#244
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.2#237
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#278
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#178
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 7.9% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 15.0
.500 or above 41.3% 54.0% 22.1%
.500 or above in Conference 50.6% 60.0% 36.4%
Conference Champion 6.1% 8.6% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 5.8% 15.3%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
First Round5.4% 7.4% 2.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Away) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 10
Quad 410 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 317   @ Holy Cross W 71-68 60%    
  Nov 12, 2022 300   Albany W 68-60 75%    
  Nov 16, 2022 266   Army W 72-67 67%    
  Nov 20, 2022 167   @ Harvard L 63-70 28%    
  Nov 24, 2022 42   Florida St. L 62-76 11%    
  Dec 02, 2022 290   Canisius W 73-66 73%    
  Dec 07, 2022 102   @ Georgetown L 67-78 17%    
  Dec 11, 2022 153   @ Delaware L 65-72 27%    
  Dec 19, 2022 103   St. Bonaventure L 64-69 33%    
  Dec 22, 2022 312   @ American W 67-64 58%    
  Dec 30, 2022 221   @ Quinnipiac L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 01, 2023 222   @ Fairfield L 62-66 37%    
  Jan 06, 2023 145   St. Peter's L 62-64 43%    
  Jan 08, 2023 218   Rider W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 13, 2023 239   @ Niagara L 63-66 40%    
  Jan 15, 2023 290   @ Canisius W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 20, 2023 267   Mount St. Mary's W 65-60 65%    
  Jan 22, 2023 222   Fairfield W 65-63 55%    
  Jan 27, 2023 101   Iona L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 29, 2023 296   @ Marist W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 03, 2023 227   @ Manhattan L 68-72 39%    
  Feb 05, 2023 239   Niagara W 66-63 58%    
  Feb 10, 2023 267   @ Mount St. Mary's L 62-63 47%    
  Feb 12, 2023 296   Marist W 69-62 72%    
  Feb 17, 2023 221   Quinnipiac W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 24, 2023 218   @ Rider L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 26, 2023 101   @ Iona L 65-76 19%    
  Mar 02, 2023 227   Manhattan W 71-69 58%    
  Mar 04, 2023 145   @ St. Peter's L 59-67 27%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.4 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 2.4 3.4 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.7 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.4 3.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.6 3.8 1.4 0.2 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.9 3.5 1.2 0.1 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.8 3.1 0.9 0.1 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 3.3 2.5 0.7 0.1 9.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.2 11th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.9 4.5 5.6 7.1 8.5 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.0 8.3 7.1 5.8 4.5 3.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 92.2% 0.9    0.8 0.1
17-3 76.0% 1.4    1.0 0.4 0.0
16-4 51.6% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 24.5% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 7.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 62.9% 45.5% 17.3% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.8%
19-1 0.4% 48.0% 40.3% 7.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12.8%
18-2 1.0% 39.8% 36.9% 2.8% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 4.5%
17-3 1.8% 31.4% 30.9% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 0.8%
16-4 3.1% 23.0% 22.9% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.4 0.2%
15-5 4.5% 17.6% 17.6% 13.8 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.7
14-6 5.8% 10.9% 10.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.2
13-7 7.1% 9.1% 9.1% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 6.5
12-8 8.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 7.8
11-9 9.0% 4.6% 4.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 8.6
10-10 9.4% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.1
9-11 9.3% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.0
8-12 9.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 8.9
7-13 8.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 8.4
6-14 7.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.0
5-15 5.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.6
4-16 4.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.5
3-17 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.9% 5.8% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.5 94.1 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 5.3 23.8 23.8 52.4
Lose Out 0.1%