IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Thomas
Summit League
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-19.2	#357
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.7	#271
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.2	#352

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-10.0	#360

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	0.8%	33.3%	0.8%
.500 or above in Conference	1.9%	25.0%	1.9%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	64.0%	25.0%	64.1%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 6	0 - 11
Quad 4	5 - 14	5 - 24

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	14	@ Creighton	L	50-88	0.0%
Nov 11, 2022	362	Chicago St.	W	71-65	69%
Nov 13, 2022	314	St. Francis Brooklyn	L	67-74	27%
Nov 17, 2022	170	@ Montana	L	56-78	3%
Nov 18, 2022	235	Troy	L	60-76	8%
Nov 19, 2022	280	Merrimack	L	56-68	15%
Nov 23, 2022	306	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	62-76	13%
Nov 26, 2022	84	@ Utah	L	55-84	1%
Dec 08, 2022	140	@ Montana St.	L	58-82	3%
Dec 10, 2022	324	@ Idaho St.	L	60-72	16%
Dec 13, 2022	347	Green Bay	L	65-68	41%
Dec 19, 2022	322	North Dakota	L	68-74	31%
Dec 21, 2022	216	North Dakota St.	L	61-75	13%
Dec 29, 2022	135	@ South Dakota	L	59-83	2%
Dec 31, 2022	134	@ South Dakota St.	L	64-88	3%
Jan 05, 2023	346	Denver	L	68-71	40%
Jan 07, 2023	307	Nebraska Omaha	L	70-78	27%
Jan 12, 2023	289	@ UMKC	L	61-76	13%
Jan 14, 2023	122	@ Oral Roberts	L	64-90	2%
Jan 21, 2023	288	@ Western Illinois	L	66-81	12%
Jan 26, 2023	134	South Dakota St.	L	67-85	8%
Jan 28, 2023	135	South Dakota	L	62-80	7%
Feb 02, 2023	307	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	67-81	15%
Feb 04, 2023	346	@ Denver	L	65-74	24%
Feb 09, 2023	122	Oral Roberts	L	67-87	6%
Feb 11, 2023	289	UMKC	L	64-73	25%
Feb 18, 2023	288	Western Illinois	L	69-78	25%
Feb 23, 2023	216	@ North Dakota St.	L	58-78	6%
Feb 25, 2023	322	@ North Dakota	L	65-77	17%
Projected Record						5 - 24	3 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0						0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1									1.5	5th
6th						0.1	0.6	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0										3.1	6th
7th					0.4	1.7	2.5	1.2	0.3	0.0											6.1	7th
8th			0.1	1.5	4.2	4.3	1.7	0.3	0.0												12.0	8th
9th		1.1	6.1	9.0	5.9	1.7	0.2	0.0													24.1	9th
10th	14.1	18.7	12.8	5.3	1.2	0.1	0.0														52.2	10th

Total	14.1	19.8	19.0	15.8	11.6	7.9	5.1	3.0	1.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	32.6%	0.0		0.0		0.0
13-5	5.7%	0.0		0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	0.0%																							0.0
13-5	0.0%																							0.0
12-6	0.1%																							0.1
11-7	0.2%																							0.2
10-8	0.5%																							0.5
9-9	0.9%																							0.9
8-10	1.8%																							1.8
7-11	3.0%																							3.0
6-12	5.1%																							5.1
5-13	7.9%																							7.9
4-14	11.6%																							11.6
3-15	15.8%																							15.8
2-16	19.0%																							19.0
1-17	19.8%																							19.8
0-18	14.1%																							14.1

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	4.2%