Preseason Rankings
Utah Tech
Western Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#253
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.6#17
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-15.3#363
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+10.8#1
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 29.8% 58.6% 24.3%
.500 or above in Conference 33.3% 54.8% 29.3%
Conference Champion 2.6% 6.5% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 17.4% 7.2% 19.4%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 16.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 73 - 12
Quad 48 - 511 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 126   @ Nevada L 61-72 16%    
  Nov 12, 2022 311   Cal St. Northridge W 64-56 76%    
  Nov 14, 2022 89   @ Washington L 57-71 11%    
  Nov 17, 2022 12   @ Arizona L 58-81 2%    
  Nov 19, 2022 342   @ Idaho W 67-62 67%    
  Nov 25, 2022 322   @ North Dakota W 65-63 58%    
  Nov 26, 2022 191   Cal St. Fullerton L 58-62 38%    
  Dec 01, 2022 76   @ Utah St. L 54-69 10%    
  Dec 03, 2022 208   @ Weber St. L 62-68 32%    
  Dec 22, 2022 355   Lindenwood W 70-55 89%    
  Dec 29, 2022 303   UT Rio Grande Valley W 68-61 71%    
  Dec 31, 2022 156   @ Utah Valley L 56-64 26%    
  Jan 05, 2023 193   @ California Baptist L 59-66 30%    
  Jan 12, 2023 166   Stephen F. Austin L 62-64 45%    
  Jan 14, 2023 175   Sam Houston St. L 57-58 46%    
  Jan 18, 2023 116   @ Grand Canyon L 54-65 19%    
  Jan 21, 2023 111   New Mexico St. L 58-63 34%    
  Jan 26, 2023 245   @ Tarleton St. L 54-58 38%    
  Jan 28, 2023 147   @ Abilene Christian L 60-69 24%    
  Feb 02, 2023 156   Utah Valley L 59-61 44%    
  Feb 04, 2023 177   Southern Utah L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 08, 2023 173   @ Seattle L 60-67 28%    
  Feb 11, 2023 245   Tarleton St. W 57-55 57%    
  Feb 17, 2023 177   @ Southern Utah L 62-69 29%    
  Feb 23, 2023 303   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 65-64 53%    
  Feb 25, 2023 248   @ Texas Arlington L 57-61 39%    
  Mar 01, 2023 173   Seattle L 63-64 46%    
  Mar 03, 2023 116   Grand Canyon L 57-62 35%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 2.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.1 0.7 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.1 1.1 0.1 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.4 1.8 0.1 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 3.6 4.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 12.3 12th
13th 0.9 2.4 3.3 3.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 11.2 13th
Total 0.9 2.6 4.6 7.3 9.1 10.3 10.8 10.7 10.3 8.8 7.5 5.9 4.4 2.9 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 87.1% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 66.4% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 37.9% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 0.2
16-2 0.6% 0.6
15-3 1.1% 1.1
14-4 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 2.0
13-5 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 2.9
12-6 4.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
11-7 5.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9
10-8 7.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5
9-9 8.8% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 8.8
8-10 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.3
7-11 10.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.7
6-12 10.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.8
5-13 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.3
4-14 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-15 7.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.3
2-16 4.6% 4.6
1-17 2.6% 2.6
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%