Preseason Rankings
Washington
Pac-12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#89
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.1#59
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#93
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#87
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.4% 2.7% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 5.0% 5.7% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.1% 22.6% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.8% 19.1% 3.6%
Average Seed 8.5 8.4 10.2
.500 or above 57.5% 62.9% 26.0%
.500 or above in Conference 37.9% 41.5% 16.8%
Conference Champion 2.4% 2.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 8.5% 21.8%
First Four3.6% 4.0% 1.5%
First Round18.2% 20.5% 4.6%
Second Round9.3% 10.6% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen3.4% 3.9% 0.4%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Home) - 85.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 45 - 12
Quad 34 - 29 - 14
Quad 47 - 115 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 208   Weber St. W 82-71 85%    
  Nov 11, 2022 243   North Florida W 82-69 88%    
  Nov 14, 2022 253   Utah Tech W 71-57 89%    
  Nov 17, 2022 193   California Baptist W 79-69 82%    
  Nov 23, 2022 99   Fresno St. W 66-65 53%    
  Nov 28, 2022 173   Seattle W 81-71 79%    
  Dec 01, 2022 204   @ Oregon St. W 77-72 66%    
  Dec 04, 2022 59   Colorado W 73-72 50%    
  Dec 09, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 74-92 7%    
  Dec 13, 2022 273   Cal Poly W 76-60 90%    
  Dec 17, 2022 324   Idaho St. W 79-59 95%    
  Dec 21, 2022 21   Auburn L 74-79 35%    
  Dec 30, 2022 37   USC L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 01, 2023 8   UCLA L 68-76 27%    
  Jan 05, 2023 12   @ Arizona L 75-87 16%    
  Jan 08, 2023 61   @ Arizona St. L 69-75 33%    
  Jan 12, 2023 57   Stanford L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 14, 2023 128   California W 71-64 70%    
  Jan 19, 2023 59   @ Colorado L 69-75 32%    
  Jan 21, 2023 84   @ Utah L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 26, 2023 61   Arizona St. W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 28, 2023 12   Arizona L 78-84 31%    
  Feb 02, 2023 8   @ UCLA L 65-79 14%    
  Feb 04, 2023 37   @ USC L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 11, 2023 71   @ Washington St. L 69-74 36%    
  Feb 15, 2023 26   Oregon L 73-77 39%    
  Feb 18, 2023 204   Oregon St. W 80-69 81%    
  Feb 23, 2023 128   @ California W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 26, 2023 57   @ Stanford L 68-74 32%    
  Mar 02, 2023 71   Washington St. W 72-71 54%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.8 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.3 2.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.8 2.6 0.5 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.4 2.7 0.6 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.0 4.4 2.4 0.6 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.4 4.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 12.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.8 3.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 2.4 3.4 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.3 11th
12th 0.4 1.1 2.0 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 6.5 12th
Total 0.4 1.2 2.8 4.5 6.3 7.9 9.0 10.2 10.1 9.8 8.9 8.0 6.7 5.1 3.7 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-2 94.9% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 68.9% 0.5    0.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 41.6% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 17.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 57.1% 42.9% 1.6 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 16.8% 83.2% 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.5% 100.0% 25.2% 74.8% 2.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.8% 100.0% 22.5% 77.5% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.6% 98.7% 15.3% 83.4% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.5%
15-5 2.5% 93.9% 11.3% 82.6% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 93.1%
14-6 3.7% 85.2% 10.5% 74.7% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 83.5%
13-7 5.1% 70.0% 9.7% 60.3% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 66.8%
12-8 6.7% 49.6% 5.8% 43.9% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.4 46.5%
11-9 8.0% 29.2% 5.5% 23.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.6 25.1%
10-10 8.9% 13.3% 4.2% 9.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 9.5%
9-11 9.8% 5.2% 3.7% 1.6% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.3 1.6%
8-12 10.1% 2.4% 2.2% 0.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.8 0.2%
7-13 10.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.0
6-14 9.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.9
5-15 7.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.8
4-16 6.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 6.2
3-17 4.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.5
2-18 2.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.8
1-19 1.2% 1.2
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 20.1% 3.9% 16.1% 8.5 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.2 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 79.9 16.8%