Harvard
Ivy League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#153
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#140
Pace68.0#206
Improvement+0.0#105

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#207
First Shot-1.5#218
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#164
Layup/Dunks+7.4#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#290
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#328
Freethrows-1.7#282
Improvement-0.2#287

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#113
First Shot+1.7#124
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#166
Layups/Dunks-0.4#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#252
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#151
Freethrows+1.7#91
Improvement+0.3#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 11.8% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 88.8% 95.2% 83.4%
.500 or above in Conference 82.0% 86.0% 78.5%
Conference Champion 13.0% 15.7% 10.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.0%
First Four0.5% 0.2% 0.8%
First Round9.6% 11.7% 7.8%
Second Round0.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Home) - 46.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 9
Quad 412 - 216 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 122   Louisiana L 61-75 41%     0 - 1 -10.6 -5.8 -5.5
  Nov 13, 2022 346   Elon W 92-77 90%     1 - 1 +2.1 +7.2 -5.8
  Nov 16, 2022 257   @ Northeastern W 70-69 60%     2 - 1 -0.7 +2.7 -3.4
  Nov 20, 2022 191   Siena W 69-59 69%     3 - 1 +5.8 -2.3 +8.4
  Nov 25, 2022 171   Loyola Chicago W 61-55 65%     4 - 1 +2.9 -7.6 +10.8
  Nov 27, 2022 177   @ Fordham L 60-68 43%     4 - 2 -5.3 -9.7 +4.5
  Nov 30, 2022 353   @ Holy Cross W 72-38 87%     5 - 2 +22.6 -2.1 +26.7
  Dec 02, 2022 99   Massachusetts L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 18, 2022 323   Howard W 78-64 91%    
  Dec 20, 2022 49   @ UC Irvine L 58-70 14%    
  Dec 22, 2022 20   @ Kansas L 60-77 6%    
  Dec 28, 2022 258   @ Maine W 68-65 61%    
  Dec 31, 2022 145   @ Princeton L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 06, 2023 275   @ Brown W 68-64 62%    
  Jan 07, 2023 65   @ Yale L 58-68 18%    
  Jan 14, 2023 348   Columbia W 79-62 94%    
  Jan 16, 2023 318   Dartmouth W 75-61 89%    
  Jan 21, 2023 181   Cornell W 77-73 66%    
  Jan 28, 2023 159   @ Penn L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 03, 2023 65   Yale L 61-65 35%    
  Feb 04, 2023 275   Brown W 71-61 81%    
  Feb 11, 2023 159   Penn W 72-69 62%    
  Feb 17, 2023 348   @ Columbia W 76-65 84%    
  Feb 18, 2023 181   @ Cornell L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 25, 2023 145   Princeton W 69-67 59%    
  Mar 04, 2023 318   @ Dartmouth W 72-64 75%    
Projected Record 16 - 10 8 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.9 4.8 4.1 1.7 0.3 13.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 6.0 10.1 5.3 0.8 23.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 7.7 9.8 3.4 0.2 22.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 7.3 7.8 1.9 0.0 18.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 5.6 5.0 1.0 0.0 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.0 1.8 0.3 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 5.4 9.3 14.1 17.5 18.0 15.4 10.2 4.8 1.7 0.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
13-1 100.0% 1.7    1.5 0.1
12-2 84.4% 4.1    2.8 1.3 0.0
11-3 46.7% 4.8    1.8 2.4 0.6 0.0
10-4 12.5% 1.9    0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
9-5 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 13.0% 13.0 6.6 4.8 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.3% 45.0% 44.3% 0.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2%
13-1 1.7% 33.3% 32.0% 1.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1.9%
12-2 4.8% 22.6% 22.6% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 3.8 0.1%
11-3 10.2% 18.5% 18.5% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.3
10-4 15.4% 13.4% 13.4% 13.9 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 13.3
9-5 18.0% 9.6% 9.6% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 16.3
8-6 17.5% 6.6% 6.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 16.3
7-7 14.1% 5.1% 5.1% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 13.3
6-8 9.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.0
5-9 5.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 5.3
4-10 2.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
3-11 0.8% 0.8
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.4 2.3 1.0 90.2 0.0%