Penn
Ivy League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#159
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#156
Pace69.0#174
Improvement+0.2#59

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#93
First Shot+0.2#163
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#51
Layup/Dunks-0.5#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#120
Freethrows-1.1#241
Improvement+0.2#31

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#250
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#292
Layups/Dunks+0.3#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#228
Freethrows-0.8#222
Improvement+0.0#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 8.6% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 79.6% 85.4% 63.2%
.500 or above in Conference 79.5% 81.3% 74.2%
Conference Champion 9.9% 10.8% 7.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.7% 1.3%
First Four0.8% 0.7% 1.0%
First Round7.6% 8.3% 5.6%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Home) - 73.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 45 - 10
Quad 410 - 315 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 84   @ Iona L 50-78 20%     0 - 1 -18.6 -19.0 +0.5
  Nov 11, 2022 51   @ Missouri L 85-92 13%     0 - 2 +5.7 +13.8 -8.1
  Nov 13, 2022 115   Towson L 74-80 49%     0 - 3 -5.3 +2.5 -7.8
  Nov 15, 2022 169   @ Drexel W 64-59 41%     1 - 3 +7.9 -5.4 +13.4
  Nov 18, 2022 14   @ West Virginia L 58-92 5%     1 - 4 -14.6 -2.6 -13.3
  Nov 22, 2022 273   @ Lafayette W 74-68 OT 61%     2 - 4 +3.5 +0.8 +2.7
  Nov 25, 2022 361   Hartford W 75-55 96%     3 - 4 -0.2 -2.7 +3.7
  Nov 26, 2022 123   Colgate W 81-69 51%     4 - 4 +12.3 +6.6 +5.9
  Nov 27, 2022 195   Delaware W 86-73 68%     5 - 4 +8.6 +14.1 -4.7
  Nov 30, 2022 192   Saint Joseph's L 80-85 OT 68%     5 - 5 -9.3 -3.4 -5.4
  Dec 03, 2022 221   La Salle W 73-66 74%    
  Dec 07, 2022 79   @ Villanova L 65-74 19%    
  Dec 10, 2022 95   Temple L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 02, 2023 277   @ Brown W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 06, 2023 157   @ Cornell L 78-81 39%    
  Jan 07, 2023 349   @ Columbia W 81-70 84%    
  Jan 14, 2023 319   @ Dartmouth W 76-69 74%    
  Jan 16, 2023 143   Princeton W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 21, 2023 67   @ Yale L 62-73 17%    
  Jan 23, 2023 361   @ Hartford W 79-64 91%    
  Jan 28, 2023 151   Harvard W 72-70 59%    
  Feb 03, 2023 349   Columbia W 84-67 94%    
  Feb 04, 2023 157   Cornell W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 11, 2023 151   @ Harvard L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 17, 2023 67   Yale L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 18, 2023 277   Brown W 75-66 79%    
  Feb 25, 2023 319   Dartmouth W 79-66 88%    
  Mar 04, 2023 143   @ Princeton L 70-74 36%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.8 3.1 0.9 0.1 9.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 5.7 9.2 4.2 0.4 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 7.7 10.0 2.9 0.2 22.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 8.0 8.8 2.1 0.0 21.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 6.9 6.2 1.2 0.0 16.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.9 11.2 16.1 18.7 18.1 13.9 8.2 3.5 0.9 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.9    0.8 0.1
12-2 88.0% 3.1    2.1 0.9 0.0
11-3 46.6% 3.8    1.5 1.8 0.4
10-4 12.8% 1.8    0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1
9-5 0.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 4.8 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 31.0% 27.6% 3.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.8%
13-1 0.9% 31.5% 30.9% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.8%
12-2 3.5% 20.1% 20.1% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 2.8
11-3 8.2% 14.2% 14.2% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.0
10-4 13.9% 12.6% 12.6% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.0 12.2
9-5 18.1% 9.2% 9.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.1 16.4
8-6 18.7% 5.7% 5.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 17.6
7-7 16.1% 4.6% 4.6% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 15.4
6-8 11.2% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.9
5-9 5.9% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 5.7
4-10 2.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-11 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-12 0.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.6 2.4 1.2 92.1 0.0%