Fordham
Atlantic 10
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#177
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#51
Pace69.2#164
Improvement+0.1#89

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#262
First Shot+0.1#168
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#332
Layup/Dunks-3.9#316
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#51
Freethrows+1.6#84
Improvement+0.0#131

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#103
First Shot+2.8#87
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#211
Layups/Dunks+0.6#167
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#96
Freethrows+1.0#124
Improvement+0.1#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.6% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 12.9 14.1
.500 or above 77.4% 90.7% 73.3%
.500 or above in Conference 30.8% 40.2% 27.9%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 14.3% 9.8% 15.6%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round1.8% 2.4% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 23.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 56 - 12
Quad 412 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 318   Dartmouth W 88-74 87%     1 - 0 +1.3 +8.5 -7.4
  Nov 11, 2022 15   @ Arkansas L 48-74 4%     1 - 1 -6.5 -14.6 +8.9
  Nov 15, 2022 331   New Hampshire W 79-61 90%     2 - 1 +3.8 -5.0 +7.8
  Nov 19, 2022 253   Illinois-Chicago W 79-65 76%     3 - 1 +6.5 +8.8 -1.5
  Nov 21, 2022 353   Holy Cross W 67-53 94%     4 - 1 -3.4 -13.2 +10.1
  Nov 22, 2022 345   Stonehill W 71-60 92%     5 - 1 -4.9 -9.1 +4.8
  Nov 27, 2022 153   Harvard W 68-60 57%     6 - 1 +5.9 -5.2 +11.0
  Nov 30, 2022 258   Maine W 72-67 77%     7 - 1 -3.0 -1.0 -1.7
  Dec 03, 2022 107   @ Tulane L 66-74 24%    
  Dec 06, 2022 213   Wagner W 69-64 69%    
  Dec 09, 2022 336   Binghamton W 77-62 91%    
  Dec 11, 2022 342   Central Connecticut St. W 73-58 92%    
  Dec 22, 2022 332   VMI W 79-64 91%    
  Dec 28, 2022 116   Davidson L 67-68 46%    
  Jan 04, 2023 180   @ Rhode Island L 63-66 40%    
  Jan 07, 2023 193   Saint Joseph's W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 10, 2023 74   Dayton L 57-62 33%    
  Jan 14, 2023 220   @ La Salle L 64-65 50%    
  Jan 21, 2023 130   @ Duquesne L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 25, 2023 108   @ St. Bonaventure L 61-69 24%    
  Jan 28, 2023 194   George Washington W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 31, 2023 46   Saint Louis L 68-75 25%    
  Feb 05, 2023 100   @ Richmond L 60-68 23%    
  Feb 08, 2023 99   Massachusetts L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 11, 2023 116   @ Davidson L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 15, 2023 108   St. Bonaventure L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 18, 2023 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 58-68 20%    
  Feb 22, 2023 171   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-64 38%    
  Feb 25, 2023 180   Rhode Island W 66-63 61%    
  Mar 01, 2023 158   @ George Mason L 64-68 36%    
  Mar 04, 2023 130   Duquesne W 70-69 51%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 2.1 0.9 0.1 4.2 4th
5th 0.4 2.4 1.7 0.2 4.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.2 1.5 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.6 3.1 0.2 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 5.0 1.0 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.0 2.7 0.2 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.9 4.8 0.6 0.0 9.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.3 1.7 0.0 9.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 2.7 0.2 9.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.0 2.9 0.6 9.8 14th
15th 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 8.2 15th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.3 5.1 8.1 11.5 13.6 14.4 13.2 11.1 8.3 5.5 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 79.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 47.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3%
15-3 0.3% 18.8% 13.0% 5.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.7%
14-4 0.7% 9.5% 5.8% 3.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 4.0%
13-5 1.6% 8.9% 7.4% 1.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.6%
12-6 3.2% 5.4% 5.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.0
11-7 5.5% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.3 0.0%
10-8 8.3% 3.0% 3.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.0
9-9 11.1% 2.5% 2.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.8
8-10 13.2% 1.8% 1.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.0
7-11 14.4% 1.2% 1.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.2
6-12 13.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-13 11.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.4
4-14 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.1
3-15 5.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.1
2-16 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.3
1-17 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.9% 1.8% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 98.1 0.1%