Princeton
Ivy League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#145
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#162
Pace67.5#217
Improvement-0.3#249

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#143
First Shot+2.4#101
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#265
Layup/Dunks+7.7#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
Freethrows-1.2#260
Improvement-0.5#354

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#163
First Shot-1.5#225
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#52
Layups/Dunks-6.0#338
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#41
Freethrows+0.6#153
Improvement+0.2#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.8% 16.0% 10.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.2
.500 or above 90.4% 96.3% 85.6%
.500 or above in Conference 85.5% 89.3% 82.4%
Conference Champion 15.9% 19.3% 13.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.4% 0.8%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round12.6% 15.9% 9.9%
Second Round1.3% 1.7% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 45.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 33 - 54 - 7
Quad 412 - 216 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 131   Hofstra L 77-83 58%     0 - 1 -6.4 +0.1 -6.4
  Nov 11, 2022 170   @ Navy L 73-74 45%     0 - 2 +1.9 +4.0 -2.1
  Nov 14, 2022 279   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 94-64 67%     1 - 2 +27.1 +14.3 +12.6
  Nov 19, 2022 310   @ Marist W 62-55 76%     2 - 2 +1.3 -3.3 +5.2
  Nov 24, 2022 305   Army W 74-66 82%     3 - 2 +0.0 -6.1 +6.0
  Nov 26, 2022 257   Northeastern W 56-54 73%     4 - 2 -2.7 -14.9 +12.2
  Dec 03, 2022 173   @ Drexel L 66-67 45%    
  Dec 06, 2022 268   Lafayette W 68-58 83%    
  Dec 10, 2022 329   Monmouth W 78-62 93%    
  Dec 13, 2022 83   Iona L 70-75 33%    
  Dec 16, 2022 176   Delaware W 74-69 67%    
  Dec 31, 2022 153   Harvard W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 06, 2023 348   @ Columbia W 78-66 86%    
  Jan 07, 2023 181   @ Cornell L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 14, 2023 275   @ Brown W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 16, 2023 159   @ Penn L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 21, 2023 318   Dartmouth W 77-63 90%    
  Jan 28, 2023 65   @ Yale L 59-69 20%    
  Feb 03, 2023 181   Cornell W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 04, 2023 348   Columbia W 81-63 94%    
  Feb 11, 2023 318   @ Dartmouth W 74-66 77%    
  Feb 17, 2023 275   Brown W 73-63 82%    
  Feb 18, 2023 65   Yale L 62-66 38%    
  Feb 25, 2023 153   @ Harvard L 67-69 41%    
  Mar 04, 2023 159   Penn W 74-70 64%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.1 5.4 5.2 2.4 0.6 15.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 6.6 11.1 6.5 1.3 26.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 7.1 9.8 3.2 0.2 21.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 6.4 7.5 1.9 0.0 17.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.9 4.4 1.0 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 2.1 1.6 0.3 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.9 8.1 12.3 16.6 18.5 16.4 12.1 6.5 2.4 0.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
13-1 100.0% 2.4    2.2 0.3
12-2 80.1% 5.2    3.5 1.7 0.0
11-3 44.9% 5.4    2.1 2.8 0.5 0.0
10-4 12.5% 2.1    0.3 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
9-5 0.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.9% 15.9 8.7 5.6 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.6% 61.2% 48.6% 12.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 24.5%
13-1 2.4% 36.8% 36.4% 0.5% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 0.8%
12-2 6.5% 29.8% 29.7% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 4.6 0.2%
11-3 12.1% 21.4% 21.3% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.2 9.5 0.0%
10-4 16.4% 14.9% 14.9% 13.9 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 14.0
9-5 18.5% 11.2% 11.2% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.1 16.4
8-6 16.6% 8.5% 8.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 15.2
7-7 12.3% 5.3% 5.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 11.7
6-8 8.1% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.7
5-9 3.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.8
4-10 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-11 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-12 0.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 12.8% 12.7% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 4.4 2.7 1.0 87.2 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 88.6% 9.4 7.1 8.6 7.1 18.6 18.6 20.0 8.6