Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#132
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#84
Pace71.8#105
Improvement-0.3#357

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#74
First Shot+3.9#72
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#185
Layup/Dunks-2.0#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#48
Freethrows-1.0#231
Improvement-0.5#363

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#221
First Shot-1.2#215
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#198
Layups/Dunks-1.3#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#260
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#239
Freethrows+2.3#68
Improvement+0.2#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.6% 20.6% 13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 2.7% 0.2%
Average Seed 13.3 12.3 13.3
.500 or above 98.3% 100.0% 98.3%
.500 or above in Conference 97.4% 99.3% 97.3%
Conference Champion 22.2% 30.7% 21.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 1.4% 0.2%
First Round13.5% 20.2% 13.3%
Second Round1.7% 4.1% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 2.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 22 - 4
Quad 36 - 47 - 8
Quad 413 - 220 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 143   @ Princeton W 83-77 42%     1 - 0 +10.7 +10.9 -0.4
  Nov 11, 2022 84   Iona W 83-78 47%     2 - 0 +8.4 +14.6 -6.0
  Nov 14, 2022 198   George Washington W 85-80 75%     3 - 0 +0.5 +9.8 -9.1
  Nov 17, 2022 183   @ San Jose St. W 85-76 51%     4 - 0 +11.2 +13.2 -1.7
  Nov 19, 2022 32   @ St. Mary's L 48-76 12%     4 - 1 -12.6 -13.8 +1.4
  Nov 25, 2022 130   Middle Tennessee L 54-64 49%     4 - 2 -7.3 -10.4 +2.4
  Nov 26, 2022 227   UNC Greensboro W 65-53 72%     5 - 2 +8.6 -5.1 +13.9
  Nov 27, 2022 150   Quinnipiac W 72-70 56%     6 - 2 +3.1 -2.3 +5.3
  Nov 30, 2022 156   @ George Mason L 77-81 OT 46%     6 - 3 -0.3 -0.9 +0.9
  Dec 07, 2022 3   @ Purdue L 64-84 3%    
  Dec 11, 2022 100   Massachusetts L 74-76 42%    
  Dec 19, 2022 185   @ South Florida W 70-69 52%    
  Dec 29, 2022 195   @ Delaware W 76-75 53%    
  Dec 31, 2022 274   N.C. A&T W 80-69 85%    
  Jan 05, 2023 335   @ Hampton W 83-71 86%    
  Jan 07, 2023 288   @ William & Mary W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 11, 2023 328   Monmouth W 83-66 94%    
  Jan 14, 2023 195   Delaware W 79-72 73%    
  Jan 16, 2023 115   @ Towson L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 19, 2023 138   UNC Wilmington W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 26, 2023 344   @ Elon W 80-68 87%    
  Jan 28, 2023 80   @ College of Charleston L 81-88 27%    
  Feb 02, 2023 115   Towson W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 04, 2023 342   Stony Brook W 82-64 95%    
  Feb 08, 2023 257   @ Northeastern W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 11, 2023 328   @ Monmouth W 80-69 83%    
  Feb 13, 2023 169   Drexel W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 16, 2023 335   Hampton W 86-68 94%    
  Feb 18, 2023 342   @ Stony Brook W 79-67 87%    
  Feb 25, 2023 257   Northeastern W 76-66 82%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 13 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 3.2 7.1 7.3 3.4 0.8 22.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.9 9.6 6.3 1.5 0.1 23.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.6 8.6 4.3 0.5 18.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.7 6.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 14.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 2.8 1.7 0.2 6.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.1 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.7 3.5 6.5 10.7 14.7 17.7 17.4 13.9 8.7 3.5 0.8 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
17-1 98.3% 3.4    3.1 0.4
16-2 83.4% 7.3    5.0 2.1 0.1
15-3 51.0% 7.1    2.9 3.3 0.9 0.0
14-4 18.4% 3.2    0.5 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 2.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.2% 22.2 12.3 7.3 2.2 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.8% 49.0% 35.5% 13.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 21.0%
17-1 3.5% 35.0% 32.6% 2.4% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.3 3.6%
16-2 8.7% 24.6% 24.3% 0.3% 12.7 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 6.6 0.5%
15-3 13.9% 19.7% 19.7% 13.0 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.6 0.0 11.1
14-4 17.4% 14.7% 14.7% 13.4 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.0 0.1 14.9
13-5 17.7% 11.2% 11.2% 13.8 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 15.7
12-6 14.7% 9.2% 9.2% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 13.3
11-7 10.7% 6.7% 6.7% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 10.0
10-8 6.5% 4.4% 4.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 6.2
9-9 3.5% 4.7% 4.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.3
8-10 1.7% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.6
7-11 0.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
6-12 0.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.6% 13.4% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.0 4.1 1.4 0.2 86.4 0.3%