Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
168 Lipscomb 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 5 18 - 12 11 - 5 -0.2      +4.2 78 -4.4 309 71.8 86 -0.1 167 -0.6 3
208 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   14 - 14 12 - 4 14 - 14 12 - 4 -2.5      +1.0 151 -3.5 277 70.6 110 -3.2 227 +1.5 1
209 Stetson 100.0%   15   19 - 12 11 - 5 19 - 13 11 - 5 -2.6      +3.4 91 -6.0 345 65.1 275 +0.1 161 -0.5 2
222 Austin Peay 0.0%   16 - 15 10 - 6 16 - 15 10 - 6 -3.1      +2.6 107 -5.6 339 62.2 336 -1.9 203 -1.9 4
228 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0%   11 - 18 8 - 8 11 - 18 8 - 8 -3.4      -1.9 231 -1.4 216 61.8 338 -5.6 270 -4.7 6
240 North Florida 0.0%   13 - 16 9 - 7 13 - 16 9 - 7 -4.0      +0.6 160 -4.6 319 68.2 182 -4.3 245 -3.1 5
247 North Alabama 0.0%   13 - 17 8 - 8 13 - 17 8 - 8 -4.2      -0.1 180 -4.2 301 69.1 154 -4.6 251 -4.8 7
258 Queens 0.0%   12 - 19 7 - 9 12 - 19 7 - 9 -5.0      -1.3 216 -3.8 285 79.7 10 -4.4 247 -5.9 8
264 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   12 - 16 6 - 10 12 - 16 6 - 10 -5.4      -0.7 202 -4.6 320 82.5 4 -5.0 262 -7.5 9
270 Jacksonville 0.0%   13 - 17 5 - 11 13 - 17 5 - 11 -5.6      -3.5 268 -2.1 240 64.9 282 -4.9 257 -9.1 11
312 Bellarmine 0.0%   5 - 23 4 - 12 5 - 23 4 - 12 -8.6      -3.9 279 -4.7 322 63.6 311 -10.7 324 -10.8 12
337 Central Arkansas 0.0%   7 - 23 5 - 11 7 - 23 5 - 11 -12.1      -6.4 324 -5.7 341 71.9 83 -11.5 332 -8.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Lipscomb 2.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 1.0 100.0
Stetson 2.0 100.0
Austin Peay 4.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 6.0 100.0
North Florida 5.0 100.0
North Alabama 6.0 100.0
Queens 8.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 9.0 100.0
Jacksonville 10.0 100.0
Bellarmine 12.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Lipscomb 11 - 5 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 12 - 4 100.0
Stetson 11 - 5 100.0
Austin Peay 10 - 6 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 8 - 8 100.0
North Florida 9 - 7 100.0
North Alabama 8 - 8 100.0
Queens 7 - 9 100.0
Kennesaw St. 6 - 10 100.0
Jacksonville 5 - 11 100.0
Bellarmine 4 - 12 100.0
Central Arkansas 5 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Lipscomb
Eastern Kentucky 100.0% 100.0
Stetson
Austin Peay
Florida Gulf Coast
North Florida
North Alabama
Queens
Kennesaw St.
Jacksonville
Bellarmine
Central Arkansas


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.4 69.0 30.6
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Queens 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bellarmine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Queens 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bellarmine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0