Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#270
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#257
Pace64.9#282
Improvement+2.0#107

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#268
First Shot-4.8#302
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#101
Layup/Dunks-0.9#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#118
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#327
Freethrows+0.2#161
Improvement-0.3#200

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#240
First Shot-0.8#194
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#289
Layups/Dunks+2.2#95
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#111
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#258
Freethrows-2.4#317
Improvement+2.3#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 412 - 913 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 57   @ Xavier L 56-79 6%     0 - 1 -10.9 -12.0 +1.5
  Nov 14, 2023 259   Georgia Southern W 85-68 58%     1 - 1 +9.3 +6.4 +3.0
  Nov 17, 2023 33   @ Pittsburgh L 56-107 4%     1 - 2 -36.6 -14.7 -18.3
  Nov 24, 2023 305   @ Robert Morris W 74-65 49%     2 - 2 +3.5 -6.9 +9.8
  Nov 25, 2023 326   Fairleigh Dickinson W 91-90 70%     3 - 2 -10.0 +10.4 -20.4
  Nov 29, 2023 309   Campbell W 62-48 70%     4 - 2 +3.1 -11.1 +15.5
  Dec 02, 2023 259   @ Georgia Southern W 81-79 38%     5 - 2 -0.5 +15.0 -15.2
  Dec 06, 2023 55   @ Central Florida L 52-94 6%     5 - 3 -29.8 -12.1 -17.2
  Dec 11, 2023 304   @ South Carolina St. L 85-86 OT 49%     5 - 4 -6.4 +5.6 -11.9
  Dec 18, 2023 291   Louisiana Monroe W 75-65 65%     6 - 4 +0.4 -6.5 +6.3
  Dec 21, 2023 4   @ Purdue L 57-100 1%     6 - 5 -20.2 -12.7 -3.4
  Jan 04, 2024 228   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 70-80 32%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -10.8 -2.0 -8.9
  Jan 06, 2024 209   @ Stetson L 55-71 29%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -16.0 -15.0 -3.2
  Jan 12, 2024 240   @ North Florida L 74-82 34%     6 - 8 0 - 3 -9.4 +4.5 -14.7
  Jan 18, 2024 258   Queens W 79-77 58%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -5.6 -8.5 +2.6
  Jan 20, 2024 264   Kennesaw St. L 79-83 59%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -12.0 +3.2 -15.3
  Jan 25, 2024 208   @ Eastern Kentucky L 59-75 29%     7 - 10 1 - 5 -15.9 -16.1 +0.2
  Jan 27, 2024 312   @ Bellarmine L 63-69 51%     7 - 11 1 - 6 -12.0 -6.0 -6.7
  Jan 31, 2024 222   Austin Peay W 63-43 50%     8 - 11 2 - 6 +14.3 +1.9 +18.4
  Feb 03, 2024 168   @ Lipscomb L 82-84 22%     8 - 12 2 - 7 +0.4 +8.2 -7.8
  Feb 08, 2024 337   Central Arkansas W 59-55 80%     9 - 12 3 - 7 -10.7 -15.8 +5.5
  Feb 10, 2024 247   North Alabama W 67-63 55%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -2.8 -2.7 +0.4
  Feb 14, 2024 264   @ Kennesaw St. L 61-66 39%     10 - 13 4 - 8 -7.8 -15.3 +7.6
  Feb 16, 2024 258   @ Queens L 65-74 38%     10 - 14 4 - 9 -11.4 -8.6 -3.1
  Feb 23, 2024 240   North Florida W 62-50 54%     11 - 14 5 - 9 +5.4 -15.8 +21.4
  Feb 28, 2024 209   Stetson L 73-86 48%     11 - 15 5 - 10 -18.2 +3.2 -23.2
  Mar 01, 2024 228   Florida Gulf Coast L 57-59 51%     11 - 16 5 - 11 -8.0 -8.7 +0.4
  Mar 04, 2024 264   @ Kennesaw St. W 92-86 39%     12 - 16 +3.2 +12.5 -9.5
  Mar 05, 2024 208   @ Eastern Kentucky W 67-65 29%     13 - 16 +2.1 +1.9 +0.5
  Mar 07, 2024 209   @ Stetson L 87-88 29%     13 - 17 -1.0 +17.3 -18.3
Projected Record 13 - 17 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%