Pre-tourney Rankings
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#209
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#161
Pace65.1#275
Improvement-0.1#189

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#91
First Shot+5.3#47
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#293
Layup/Dunks-2.9#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#14
Freethrows+0.1#170
Improvement+0.3#162

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#345
First Shot-4.3#319
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#306
Layups/Dunks-4.5#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#301
Freethrows+0.7#138
Improvement-0.4#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round1.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 02 - 4
Quad 417 - 819 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 73   @ UNLV L 55-71 12%     0 - 1 -5.9 -6.8 -1.0
  Nov 13, 2023 2   @ Houston L 48-79 2%     0 - 2 -7.4 -5.3 -6.0
  Nov 20, 2023 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 85-67 52%     1 - 2 +15.0 +14.7 +1.7
  Nov 21, 2023 271   Central Michigan W 71-61 62%     2 - 2 +4.3 +11.7 -5.6
  Nov 26, 2023 55   @ Central Florida W 85-82 9%     3 - 2 +15.2 +14.8 +0.2
  Dec 03, 2023 297   @ Chicago St. L 54-77 59%     3 - 3 -27.8 -13.4 -16.9
  Dec 05, 2023 116   @ Charlotte L 62-85 21%     3 - 4 -17.1 -2.4 -16.8
  Dec 17, 2023 261   @ Nebraska Omaha L 80-88 50%     3 - 5 -10.5 +3.9 -14.3
  Dec 19, 2023 278   @ Florida International W 80-68 53%     4 - 5 +8.7 +5.6 +3.2
  Dec 22, 2023 34   @ Cincinnati L 75-83 7%     4 - 6 +6.4 +17.9 -12.2
  Dec 29, 2023 116   Charlotte W 79-75 37%     5 - 6 +4.7 +10.6 -5.7
  Jan 04, 2024 240   North Florida W 75-74 65%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -5.6 +4.5 -10.0
  Jan 06, 2024 270   Jacksonville W 71-55 71%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +7.8 +4.5 +5.4
  Jan 10, 2024 264   @ Kennesaw St. L 70-88 51%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -20.8 -12.4 -6.7
  Jan 12, 2024 258   @ Queens W 84-66 50%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +15.6 +7.7 +7.6
  Jan 15, 2024 297   Chicago St. L 70-77 76%     8 - 8 -17.0 +3.8 -21.7
  Jan 20, 2024 228   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 56-80 43%     8 - 9 3 - 2 -24.8 -10.4 -17.1
  Jan 25, 2024 222   Austin Peay W 83-82 62%     9 - 9 4 - 2 -4.7 +9.0 -13.6
  Jan 27, 2024 168   Lipscomb W 80-59 51%     10 - 9 5 - 2 +18.2 +0.4 +17.5
  Feb 01, 2024 247   @ North Alabama L 72-79 46%     10 - 10 5 - 3 -8.6 +0.5 -9.5
  Feb 03, 2024 337   @ Central Arkansas W 73-62 OT 75%     11 - 10 6 - 3 +1.5 -9.5 +10.3
  Feb 07, 2024 312   @ Bellarmine W 84-77 63%     12 - 10 7 - 3 +1.0 +16.8 -15.1
  Feb 10, 2024 208   Eastern Kentucky W 87-79 60%     13 - 10 8 - 3 +2.9 +12.5 -9.3
  Feb 17, 2024 228   Florida Gulf Coast W 61-60 63%     14 - 10 9 - 3 -5.0 -7.5 +2.6
  Feb 22, 2024 258   Queens L 75-83 69%     14 - 11 9 - 4 -15.6 -6.0 -9.3
  Feb 24, 2024 264   Kennesaw St. W 84-72 70%     15 - 11 10 - 4 +4.0 -4.2 +6.9
  Feb 28, 2024 270   @ Jacksonville W 86-73 52%     16 - 11 11 - 4 +10.0 +24.5 -12.7
  Mar 01, 2024 240   @ North Florida L 59-78 46%     16 - 12 11 - 5 -20.4 -10.7 -11.8
  Mar 05, 2024 258   Queens W 83-71 69%     17 - 12 +4.4 +6.5 -2.0
  Mar 07, 2024 270   Jacksonville W 88-87 71%     18 - 12 -7.2 +19.6 -26.8
  Mar 10, 2024 222   Austin Peay W 94-91 62%     19 - 12 -2.7 +11.8 -14.5
  Mar 22, 2024 1   Connecticut L 62-87 2%    
Projected Record 19 - 13 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.3 0.4 69.0 30.6
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.4 69.0 30.6