IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
La Salle
Atlantic 10
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.4	#199
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.9	#155
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.3	#189

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#210

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	3.0%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Average Seed	13.2	12.8	13.9

.500 or above	40.2%	54.4%	27.9%
.500 or above in Conference	33.7%	42.3%	26.3%
Conference Champion	2.0%	3.0%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	16.0%	11.2%	20.2%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%
First Round	1.8%	2.8%	0.9%
Second Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 3	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2023	125	Drexel	L	66-67	46%
Nov 11, 2023	228	Northeastern	W	72-67	68%
Nov 14, 2023	331	Bucknell	W	77-65	85%
Nov 18, 2023	344	Southern Indiana	W	81-68	88%
Nov 21, 2023	3	@ Duke	L	58-80	3%
Nov 26, 2023	357	Coppin St.	W	84-69	91%
Nov 29, 2023	138	@ Temple	L	66-72	28%
Dec 06, 2023	295	Loyola Maryland	W	75-66	78%
Dec 09, 2023	293	@ Lafayette	W	67-64	59%
Dec 16, 2023	30	@ Miami (FL)	L	67-83	8%
Dec 30, 2023	247	Howard	W	78-72	70%
Jan 03, 2024	139	George Mason	L	69-70	49%
Jan 06, 2024	162	@ Fordham	L	69-74	34%
Jan 10, 2024	192	@ Massachusetts	L	74-77	39%
Jan 13, 2024	82	Virginia Commonwealth	L	68-73	34%
Jan 15, 2024	136	@ Saint Joseph's	L	71-77	30%
Jan 23, 2024	72	Dayton	L	62-68	32%
Jan 27, 2024	238	@ George Washington	L	75-76	49%
Jan 31, 2024	190	@ Rhode Island	L	68-71	39%
Feb 03, 2024	136	Saint Joseph's	L	73-74	48%
Feb 07, 2024	102	Saint Louis	L	73-76	41%
Feb 10, 2024	129	@ Richmond	L	65-72	29%
Feb 13, 2024	149	@ Davidson	L	66-72	32%
Feb 17, 2024	192	Massachusetts	W	77-74	59%
Feb 21, 2024	78	St. Bonaventure	L	66-71	34%
Feb 25, 2024	190	Rhode Island	W	71-68	58%
Feb 28, 2024	94	@ Duquesne	L	68-78	22%
Mar 02, 2024	238	George Washington	W	79-73	68%
Mar 09, 2024	96	@ Loyola Chicago	L	65-74	22%
Projected Record						13 - 16	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0		2.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0				2.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.8	1.6	1.0	0.3	0.0					3.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	2.0	1.4	0.3	0.0						4.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	2.1	2.3	0.4	0.0							5.2	5th
6th									0.1	1.6	3.0	1.0	0.0								5.7	6th
7th								0.0	0.9	3.5	1.9	0.1									6.3	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	3.4	2.9	0.4										7.2	8th
9th							0.2	2.2	4.0	1.0	0.0										7.6	9th
10th						0.1	1.3	4.3	2.3	0.2											8.1	10th
11th					0.0	0.7	3.8	3.4	0.4	0.0											8.4	11th
12th				0.0	0.6	3.0	4.3	1.0	0.0												8.9	12th
13th			0.0	0.6	2.7	4.2	1.8	0.2													9.5	13th
14th		0.0	0.9	2.9	4.0	2.0	0.3	0.0													10.1	14th
15th	0.5	2.1	3.3	2.9	1.3	0.2	0.0														10.2	15th

Total	0.5	2.1	4.2	6.3	8.6	10.2	11.7	11.6	11.1	9.6	8.0	6.2	4.1	2.9	1.6	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	91.4%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
15-3	68.6%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-4	35.3%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0
13-5	11.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.0%	2.0		0.9	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		80.0%	17.8%	62.2%	7.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0							0.0		75.7%
17-1	0.1%		58.8%	30.8%	27.9%	9.0					0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		40.4%
16-2	0.4%		33.2%	12.7%	20.5%	10.5						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.3		23.5%
15-3	0.8%		20.4%	15.0%	5.4%	11.4									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.7		6.4%
14-4	1.6%		8.6%	7.1%	1.5%	11.7										0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			1.5		1.6%
13-5	2.9%		8.3%	8.1%	0.1%	12.4												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		2.6		0.1%
12-6	4.1%		4.9%	4.9%	0.0%	13.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		3.9		0.0%
11-7	6.2%		3.4%	3.4%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	6.0
10-8	8.0%		2.8%	2.8%		13.9													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	7.7
9-9	9.6%		2.2%	2.2%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	9.4
8-10	11.1%		1.3%	1.3%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	10.9
7-11	11.6%		0.9%	0.9%		15.8														0.0		0.0	0.1	11.5
6-12	11.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
5-13	10.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
4-14	8.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
3-15	6.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
2-16	4.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
1-17	2.1%																							2.1
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		1.9%	1.7%	0.2%	13.2					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.3	98.1		0.2%