IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.7	#344
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.9	#82
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.7	#307

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.0	#350

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.5%	3.5%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.4	15.8

.500 or above	11.5%	38.0%	10.5%
.500 or above in Conference	26.4%	49.4%	25.5%
Conference Champion	2.1%	6.4%	2.0%
Last Place in Conference	24.1%	11.0%	24.6%

First Four	0.9%	1.5%	0.9%
First Round	1.0%	2.8%	0.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 3.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	8 - 11	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	102	@ Saint Louis	L	68-87	4%
Nov 09, 2023	5	@ Michigan St.	L	56-87	0.2%
Nov 12, 2023	324	Chicago St.	W	73-72	52%
Nov 18, 2023	199	@ La Salle	L	68-81	12%
Nov 20, 2023	331	@ Bucknell	L	70-75	34%
Nov 24, 2023	3	@ Duke	L	56-88	0.2%
Dec 02, 2023	235	Bowling Green	L	76-81	33%
Dec 06, 2023	305	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	75-76	47%
Dec 09, 2023	122	@ Indiana St.	L	70-87	7%
Dec 22, 2023	171	@ Southern Illinois	L	60-75	10%
Dec 29, 2023	308	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	77-84	28%
Dec 31, 2023	356	@ Lindenwood	L	74-75	47%
Jan 04, 2024	262	Tennessee St.	L	78-81	39%
Jan 06, 2024	289	Tennessee Tech	L	73-75	44%
Jan 11, 2024	259	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	71-80	21%
Jan 18, 2024	275	Arkansas Little Rock	L	79-82	42%
Jan 20, 2024	220	Morehead St.	L	65-71	31%
Jan 25, 2024	317	Western Illinois	W	74-73	50%
Feb 01, 2024	289	@ Tennessee Tech	L	70-78	26%
Feb 03, 2024	262	@ Tennessee St.	L	75-84	22%
Feb 08, 2024	332	Eastern Illinois	W	75-73	55%
Feb 10, 2024	259	SIU Edwardsville	L	74-77	39%
Feb 15, 2024	282	@ Tennessee Martin	L	77-85	25%
Feb 17, 2024	275	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	76-85	25%
Feb 20, 2024	220	@ Morehead St.	L	62-74	17%
Feb 24, 2024	317	@ Western Illinois	L	71-77	31%
Feb 29, 2024	356	Lindenwood	W	77-72	66%
Mar 02, 2024	308	Southeast Missouri St.	L	80-81	49%
Projected Record						9 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	1.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0				3.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.8	1.8	1.3	0.4	0.0	0.0					4.3	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	0.8	2.4	1.8	0.4	0.0							5.5	4th
5th								0.1	0.8	3.0	2.5	0.5	0.0								7.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.9	3.6	3.1	0.7	0.0									8.3	6th
7th						0.1	1.1	3.9	4.0	1.0	0.1										10.0	7th
8th					0.1	1.3	4.3	4.8	1.4	0.1											12.0	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	2.1	5.1	5.1	1.7	0.1	0.0											14.5	9th
10th		0.1	1.0	3.3	5.6	4.6	1.5	0.2	0.0												16.3	10th
11th	0.8	2.9	4.5	4.7	2.7	0.8	0.1	0.0													16.4	11th

Total	0.8	3.0	5.5	8.2	10.6	11.9	12.1	11.4	10.0	8.1	6.5	4.8	3.1	2.1	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	93.9%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	85.0%	0.5		0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	57.0%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	25.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	8.3%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																		0.0	0.0				0.0
17-1	0.1%		29.1%	29.1%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.2%		37.5%	37.5%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.5%		23.0%	23.0%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4
14-4	1.0%		13.9%	13.9%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.9
13-5	2.1%		13.8%	13.8%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	1.8
12-6	3.1%		6.8%	6.8%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	2.9
11-7	4.8%		5.2%	5.2%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	4.5
10-8	6.5%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																0.0	0.2	6.3
9-9	8.1%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	8.0
8-10	10.0%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	9.9
7-11	11.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.3
6-12	12.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
5-13	11.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
4-14	10.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.6
3-15	8.2%																							8.2
2-16	5.5%																							5.5
1-17	3.0%																							3.0
0-18	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		1.5%	1.5%	0.0%	15.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	1.2	98.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%