Preseason Rankings
Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#184
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.3#72
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#143
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#226
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 18.3% 9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.8 13.2 14.0
.500 or above 54.6% 76.1% 49.0%
.500 or above in Conference 72.4% 83.7% 69.4%
Conference Champion 15.1% 23.4% 13.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 1.5% 3.7%
First Four1.3% 0.9% 1.4%
First Round11.1% 17.9% 9.3%
Second Round1.3% 2.5% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wichita St. (Away) - 20.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 54 - 10
Quad 411 - 415 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 95   @ Wichita St. L 68-77 21%    
  Nov 08, 2023 70   @ Drake L 67-78 15%    
  Nov 14, 2023 289   @ Tennessee Tech W 76-73 61%    
  Nov 18, 2023 338   Alabama A&M W 80-67 89%    
  Nov 24, 2023 170   UNC Asheville L 75-76 47%    
  Nov 25, 2023 235   Bowling Green W 81-78 61%    
  Nov 26, 2023 242   Wofford W 75-72 62%    
  Nov 29, 2023 197   Chattanooga W 78-74 62%    
  Dec 02, 2023 81   @ Central Florida L 65-75 18%    
  Dec 06, 2023 128   @ Belmont L 75-81 29%    
  Dec 10, 2023 262   Tennessee St. W 84-76 75%    
  Dec 16, 2023 17   @ Arkansas L 68-86 7%    
  Dec 30, 2023 85   @ Florida St. L 72-82 20%    
  Jan 04, 2024 134   @ Eastern Kentucky L 76-82 31%    
  Jan 06, 2024 215   @ Bellarmine L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 13, 2024 236   Austin Peay W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 18, 2024 336   Central Arkansas W 88-75 86%    
  Jan 20, 2024 223   North Alabama W 79-74 67%    
  Jan 25, 2024 159   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 27, 2024 207   @ Stetson L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 31, 2024 280   @ North Florida W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 03, 2024 246   Jacksonville W 68-61 71%    
  Feb 08, 2024 224   Queens W 81-76 67%    
  Feb 10, 2024 204   Kennesaw St. W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 15, 2024 223   @ North Alabama L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 17, 2024 336   @ Central Arkansas W 85-78 71%    
  Feb 24, 2024 236   @ Austin Peay W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 28, 2024 215   Bellarmine W 71-66 65%    
  Mar 01, 2024 134   Eastern Kentucky W 80-79 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.7 3.9 1.9 0.5 15.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 4.4 5.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.5 4.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.2 1.4 0.1 10.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.8 5.3 1.7 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.7 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.0 2.8 0.3 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.0 0.5 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.6 0.7 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.2 7.0 9.6 11.4 12.5 12.8 11.7 10.1 7.1 4.3 2.0 0.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 99.1% 1.9    1.8 0.1
14-2 90.8% 3.9    3.1 0.8 0.0
13-3 66.1% 4.7    2.6 1.7 0.4 0.0
12-4 30.8% 3.1    0.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-5 7.8% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 15.1% 15.1 9.0 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 72.1% 66.0% 6.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 18.0%
15-1 2.0% 47.1% 44.8% 2.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 4.2%
14-2 4.3% 40.0% 39.6% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6 0.6%
13-3 7.1% 28.5% 28.5% 0.0% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.1 0.0%
12-4 10.1% 19.0% 19.0% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 8.1
11-5 11.7% 13.5% 13.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 10.1
10-6 12.8% 10.2% 10.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 11.5
9-7 12.5% 6.9% 6.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 11.7
8-8 11.4% 4.5% 4.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.9
7-9 9.6% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.4
6-10 7.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.9
5-11 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.2
4-12 3.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-13 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-14 0.7% 0.7
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.6% 11.5% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.4 2.7 2.1 1.9 88.4 0.1%