IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.4	#227
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.7	#115
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.4	#162

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#289

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	0.8%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.9	13.6	14.9

.500 or above	22.8%	29.7%	10.1%
.500 or above in Conference	13.5%	16.4%	8.3%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	38.2%	33.1%	47.6%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	0.5%	0.7%	0.3%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 64.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 9
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 3	10 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2023	245	Jackson St.	W	76-72	65%
Nov 11, 2023	241	@ UC San Diego	L	73-75	42%
Nov 17, 2023	362	Le Moyne	W	83-64	96%
Nov 20, 2023	277	Navy	W	72-66	70%
Nov 24, 2023	198	Arkansas St.	L	68-70	43%
Nov 29, 2023	251	Northern Colorado	W	80-76	65%
Dec 03, 2023	49	@ Stanford	L	66-82	8%
Dec 06, 2023	83	@ Utah St.	L	70-83	14%
Dec 09, 2023	65	Arizona St.	L	69-78	23%
Dec 15, 2023	211	Portland St.	W	82-80	56%
Dec 21, 2023	304	South Dakota	W	77-70	74%
Dec 29, 2023	111	Fresno St.	L	67-71	37%
Jan 04, 2024	26	St. Mary's	L	60-73	14%
Jan 06, 2024	10	@ Gonzaga	L	70-92	3%
Jan 11, 2024	92	San Francisco	L	73-79	32%
Jan 13, 2024	191	Pepperdine	W	82-81	52%
Jan 18, 2024	174	@ Portland	L	77-83	30%
Jan 20, 2024	10	Gonzaga	L	73-89	9%
Jan 27, 2024	191	@ Pepperdine	L	79-84	33%
Feb 01, 2024	92	@ San Francisco	L	70-82	17%
Feb 03, 2024	144	@ Santa Clara	L	74-82	25%
Feb 07, 2024	116	Loyola Marymount	L	73-77	39%
Feb 10, 2024	188	@ Pacific	L	75-81	32%
Feb 15, 2024	174	Portland	L	79-80	49%
Feb 17, 2024	144	Santa Clara	L	77-79	44%
Feb 24, 2024	26	@ St. Mary's	L	57-76	6%
Feb 29, 2024	116	@ Loyola Marymount	L	70-80	22%
Mar 02, 2024	188	Pacific	W	79-78	51%
Projected Record						10 - 18	5 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2	1st
2nd								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.2	2nd
3rd								0.1	0.5	1.3	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0					3.6	3rd
4th							0.1	1.4	2.9	1.9	0.5	0.1							6.8	4th
5th						0.3	2.7	4.6	2.5	0.3	0.0								10.4	5th
6th				0.0	0.4	3.6	5.9	2.5	0.3	0.0									12.7	6th
7th			0.0	1.0	5.3	7.0	2.9	0.3	0.0										16.5	7th
8th		0.2	2.7	7.6	7.9	2.5	0.2	0.0											21.2	8th
9th	3.0	7.4	9.1	5.9	1.6	0.1	0.0												27.3	9th

Total	3.0	7.7	11.8	14.6	15.2	13.5	11.8	8.8	6.2	3.7	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
14-2	88.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
13-3	36.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-4	16.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-5	2.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0					0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1	0.0%																							0.0
14-2	0.0%		35.1%	2.6%	32.5%	8.4						0.0				0.0	0.0							0.0		33.3%
13-3	0.1%		31.2%	13.0%	18.2%	9.9							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		20.9%
12-4	0.4%		11.9%	8.0%	3.9%	11.7											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.4		4.3%
11-5	1.0%		5.3%	4.8%	0.5%	12.0											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			1.0		0.5%
10-6	2.0%		3.6%	3.4%	0.2%	12.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9		0.2%
9-7	3.7%		2.2%	2.2%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.6
8-8	6.2%		1.2%	1.2%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.2
7-9	8.8%		0.7%	0.7%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	8.7
6-10	11.8%		0.6%	0.6%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.7
5-11	13.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																0.0	0.0	13.5
4-12	15.2%		0.3%	0.3%		15.9																0.0	0.0	15.2
3-13	14.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	14.6
2-14	11.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.8
1-15	7.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
0-16	3.0%																							3.0

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.1%	13.9						0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	99.4		0.1%