Preseason Rankings
Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#222
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.9#77
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#193
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.0% 46.6% 28.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.3 15.1
.500 or above 67.7% 91.0% 65.9%
.500 or above in Conference 90.3% 97.7% 89.7%
Conference Champion 32.8% 49.1% 31.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four6.7% 4.4% 6.9%
First Round26.6% 44.4% 25.2%
Second Round1.5% 3.9% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 7.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 21 - 8
Quad 414 - 515 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 55   @ New Mexico L 72-87 8%    
  Nov 11, 2023 65   @ Arizona St. L 65-79 10%    
  Nov 16, 2023 34   @ Virginia L 55-72 6%    
  Nov 18, 2023 8   @ Creighton L 62-84 2%    
  Nov 21, 2023 175   @ Oral Roberts L 75-81 30%    
  Nov 25, 2023 70   @ Drake L 63-77 11%    
  Nov 28, 2023 2   @ Purdue L 57-82 1%    
  Dec 16, 2023 352   N.C. A&T W 79-69 80%    
  Dec 17, 2023 247   Howard W 77-75 55%    
  Dec 21, 2023 165   Samford L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 06, 2024 321   @ Southern W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 08, 2024 253   @ Grambling St. L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 13, 2024 346   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-68 85%    
  Jan 15, 2024 361   Mississippi Valley W 79-61 94%    
  Jan 20, 2024 281   @ Alcorn St. W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 22, 2024 245   @ Jackson St. L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 27, 2024 338   Alabama A&M W 77-66 82%    
  Jan 30, 2024 353   Alabama St. W 76-63 86%    
  Feb 03, 2024 326   @ Prairie View W 72-69 62%    
  Feb 10, 2024 343   @ Florida A&M W 70-64 68%    
  Feb 12, 2024 349   @ Bethune-Cookman W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 17, 2024 253   Grambling St. W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 19, 2024 321   Southern W 78-69 77%    
  Feb 24, 2024 361   @ Mississippi Valley W 76-64 84%    
  Feb 26, 2024 346   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-71 69%    
  Mar 02, 2024 245   Jackson St. W 74-69 65%    
  Mar 04, 2024 281   Alcorn St. W 75-68 71%    
  Mar 09, 2024 326   Prairie View W 75-66 78%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.6 8.7 8.6 5.5 2.0 32.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.2 6.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.4 4.1 1.3 0.1 13.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.7 4.1 5.9 7.8 10.3 11.7 13.1 13.2 11.7 9.1 5.5 2.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.0    2.0
17-1 100.0% 5.5    5.3 0.2
16-2 94.4% 8.6    7.3 1.3 0.0
15-3 73.9% 8.7    5.7 2.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 42.4% 5.6    2.5 2.3 0.8 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.2% 2.1    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 32.8% 32.8 23.2 7.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.0% 84.4% 84.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.3
17-1 5.5% 71.6% 71.6% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.2 1.6
16-2 9.1% 61.5% 61.5% 14.6 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.3 0.9 3.5
15-3 11.7% 49.2% 49.2% 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.5 1.9 6.0
14-4 13.2% 38.0% 38.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 2.8 8.2
13-5 13.1% 27.9% 27.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 9.4
12-6 11.7% 19.0% 19.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.0 9.5
11-7 10.3% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 9.1
10-8 7.8% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 7.2
9-9 5.9% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.7
8-10 4.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.1
7-11 2.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.6
6-12 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-13 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 30.0% 30.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.4 9.0 12.4 70.0 0.0%