Preseason Rankings
Utah Tech
Western Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#210
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.8#112
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-19.5#362
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+17.3#1
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 7.0% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.4 14.1
.500 or above 41.8% 62.8% 34.4%
.500 or above in Conference 40.9% 54.5% 36.1%
Conference Champion 4.4% 7.6% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.0% 7.8% 16.2%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
First Round4.0% 6.7% 3.0%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 26.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 75 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 144   @ Santa Clara L 54-61 26%    
  Nov 11, 2023 221   @ Jacksonville St. L 51-53 42%    
  Nov 17, 2023 212   @ Youngstown St. L 56-59 39%    
  Nov 24, 2023 86   @ Washington St. L 45-56 15%    
  Nov 27, 2023 356   @ Lindenwood W 59-51 77%    
  Dec 02, 2023 164   Utah Valley W 55-54 51%    
  Dec 06, 2023 186   @ California Baptist L 48-52 35%    
  Dec 09, 2023 354   Idaho W 61-47 89%    
  Dec 11, 2023 316   @ Cal St. Northridge W 53-50 62%    
  Dec 16, 2023 267   North Dakota W 59-52 71%    
  Dec 21, 2023 33   @ Colorado L 46-63 7%    
  Dec 30, 2023 196   Florida International W 58-56 57%    
  Jan 04, 2024 126   @ Seattle L 50-58 26%    
  Jan 06, 2024 93   Grand Canyon L 51-55 36%    
  Jan 11, 2024 115   Stephen F. Austin L 55-57 42%    
  Jan 18, 2024 226   @ Southern Utah L 58-60 44%    
  Jan 20, 2024 164   @ Utah Valley L 52-58 32%    
  Jan 25, 2024 168   @ Abilene Christian L 53-58 33%    
  Jan 27, 2024 214   @ Tarleton St. L 51-54 41%    
  Feb 01, 2024 263   UT Rio Grande Valley W 62-56 70%    
  Feb 03, 2024 200   Texas Arlington W 53-51 57%    
  Feb 08, 2024 226   Southern Utah W 61-57 63%    
  Feb 10, 2024 186   California Baptist W 51-49 55%    
  Feb 15, 2024 93   @ Grand Canyon L 48-58 20%    
  Feb 17, 2024 126   Seattle L 53-55 45%    
  Feb 24, 2024 200   @ Texas Arlington L 50-54 38%    
  Feb 29, 2024 214   Tarleton St. W 54-51 60%    
  Mar 02, 2024 168   Abilene Christian W 56-55 52%    
  Mar 07, 2024 263   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 60-59 51%    
  Mar 09, 2024 115   @ Stephen F. Austin L 52-60 25%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 3.1 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.7 3.4 1.1 0.1 9.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.6 3.7 1.2 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.1 4.2 1.2 0.1 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.3 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.2 4.2 3.5 1.2 0.1 11.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.7 3.5 2.5 0.8 0.1 11.0 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.4 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 9.1 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.6 5.6 7.2 8.9 10.1 10.7 10.1 9.7 8.5 6.9 5.5 4.1 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-2 97.1% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 84.7% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 66.0% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
15-5 35.9% 1.0    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 15.3% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 63.8% 46.8% 17.0% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.0%
19-1 0.2% 46.5% 42.5% 4.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.9%
18-2 0.4% 42.4% 37.5% 4.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.8%
17-3 0.9% 29.6% 28.1% 1.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.0%
16-4 1.8% 25.6% 25.6% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
15-5 2.8% 17.5% 17.5% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3
14-6 4.1% 13.3% 13.3% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.6
13-7 5.5% 9.7% 9.7% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.0
12-8 6.9% 6.4% 6.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.5
11-9 8.5% 4.4% 4.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.1
10-10 9.7% 3.3% 3.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.4
9-11 10.1% 2.1% 2.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.9
8-12 10.7% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.5
7-13 10.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.0
6-14 8.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.9
5-15 7.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.1
4-16 5.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-17 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-18 2.0% 2.0
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.3% 4.2% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.8 95.7 0.0%