Fordham
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#200
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#191
Pace72.8#65
Improvement+1.2#135

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#177
First Shot+0.6#152
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#229
Layup/Dunks-1.9#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#76
Freethrows-0.5#206
Improvement+4.0#27

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#228
First Shot-3.9#300
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#44
Layups/Dunks-4.8#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#64
Freethrows-0.5#222
Improvement-2.8#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 15.0
.500 or above 3.5% 6.6% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 40.5% 11.5% 63.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 60 - 9
Quad 36 - 77 - 16
Quad 46 - 313 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 13   @ St. John's L 60-92 3%     0 - 1 -12.1 -2.2 -8.1
  Nov 09, 2024 174   @ Seton Hall W 57-56 35%     1 - 1 +2.9 -7.7 +10.7
  Nov 12, 2024 302   Binghamton W 78-63 79%     2 - 1 +4.4 -1.3 +5.5
  Nov 15, 2024 272   @ Manhattan L 76-78 57%     2 - 2 -5.8 -6.6 +0.9
  Nov 22, 2024 183   Drexel L 71-73 56%     2 - 3 -5.7 +4.1 -9.9
  Nov 25, 2024 65   Penn St. L 66-85 17%     2 - 4 -10.7 -4.7 -5.7
  Nov 26, 2024 67   San Francisco L 64-85 17%     2 - 5 -12.9 +2.2 -17.1
  Dec 01, 2024 354   New Hampshire W 83-61 90%     3 - 5 +6.2 -0.9 +5.8
  Dec 04, 2024 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-75 84%     4 - 5 -3.6 -3.2 -1.3
  Dec 08, 2024 191   Maine W 87-72 59%     5 - 5 +10.8 +6.5 +2.8
  Dec 14, 2024 159   Bryant W 86-84 41%     6 - 5 +2.5 +1.6 +0.6
  Dec 21, 2024 276   Albany W 87-83 74%     7 - 5 -4.8 +1.5 -6.7
  Dec 31, 2024 107   Saint Louis L 63-88 37%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -23.6 -8.9 -14.8
  Jan 04, 2025 110   St. Bonaventure L 66-86 39%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -19.0 -1.8 -18.3
  Jan 08, 2025 37   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-73 7%     7 - 8 0 - 3 +2.9 -0.2 +2.4
  Jan 11, 2025 121   @ Davidson L 64-74 25%     7 - 9 0 - 4 -4.9 -11.5 +7.1
  Jan 15, 2025 149   Massachusetts L 118-120 3OT 49%     7 - 10 0 - 5 -3.6 +5.2 -8.1
  Jan 22, 2025 124   @ Loyola Chicago L 66-70 25%     7 - 11 0 - 6 +0.9 +2.4 -1.9
  Jan 26, 2025 138   Duquesne W 65-63 47%     8 - 11 1 - 6 +0.8 -0.6 +1.6
  Jan 29, 2025 220   @ La Salle W 88-72 45%     9 - 11 2 - 6 +15.3 +14.2 +0.9
  Feb 01, 2025 110   @ St. Bonaventure L 72-74 23%     9 - 12 2 - 7 +3.9 +11.9 -8.2
  Feb 05, 2025 126   Rhode Island W 80-79 44%     10 - 12 3 - 7 +0.6 +7.3 -6.7
  Feb 12, 2025 74   Dayton L 76-93 25%     10 - 13 3 - 8 -12.1 +10.3 -23.9
  Feb 15, 2025 225   @ Richmond L 72-73 44%    
  Feb 19, 2025 138   @ Duquesne L 68-74 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 121   Davidson L 75-77 45%    
  Feb 26, 2025 72   @ George Mason L 62-74 12%    
  Mar 01, 2025 84   Saint Joseph's L 72-78 29%    
  Mar 05, 2025 119   George Washington L 74-76 44%    
  Mar 08, 2025 126   @ Rhode Island L 75-82 25%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.7 0.3 1.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 1.4 1.3 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.2 4.2 0.4 4.8 10th
11th 2.1 4.3 6.4 11th
12th 0.4 9.3 1.8 11.5 12th
13th 0.3 10.5 9.9 0.3 21.0 13th
14th 11.0 17.1 2.3 30.3 14th
15th 7.6 10.6 1.7 0.0 19.9 15th
Total 7.6 21.8 29.7 23.9 12.2 4.2 0.8 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.1% 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.8% 0.8
8-10 4.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.0 0.0 4.2
7-11 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 12.1
6-12 23.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 23.8
5-13 29.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 29.7
4-14 21.8% 21.8
3-15 7.6% 7.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.3%