Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#137
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#142
Pace72.0#93
Improvement-0.2#197

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#84
First Shot+4.2#73
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#223
Layup/Dunks+5.1#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#128
Freethrows+0.1#174
Improvement-0.4#224

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#239
First Shot-2.2#242
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#176
Layups/Dunks+1.8#113
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#331
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#327
Freethrows+3.3#23
Improvement+0.3#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.6% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.1 13.0
.500 or above 40.2% 41.2% 17.9%
.500 or above in Conference 32.1% 32.6% 20.0%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 11.5% 21.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.6% 1.6% 1.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 95.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 72 - 10
Quad 36 - 68 - 16
Quad 46 - 114 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 84   Santa Clara L 78-85 32%     0 - 1 -0.6 +4.6 -5.0
  Nov 16, 2024 181   Loyola Marymount W 77-71 70%     1 - 1 +1.9 +2.9 -1.0
  Nov 22, 2024 94   Wichita St. L 63-88 34%     1 - 2 -19.4 -11.9 -4.9
  Nov 25, 2024 245   Quinnipiac W 81-67 80%     2 - 2 +6.6 -4.6 +9.4
  Nov 27, 2024 154   Umass Lowell W 93-90 65%     3 - 2 +0.3 +20.7 -20.3
  Dec 02, 2024 315   Jackson St. W 74-66 88%     4 - 2 -3.4 +2.3 -5.3
  Dec 05, 2024 64   @ San Francisco L 61-78 16%     4 - 3 -4.9 -4.6 -0.3
  Dec 08, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 87-68 96%    
  Dec 15, 2024 170   @ Illinois St. L 75-76 47%    
  Dec 18, 2024 142   Wofford W 77-74 62%    
  Dec 22, 2024 100   @ Grand Canyon L 77-84 26%    
  Dec 31, 2024 201   @ Fordham W 77-76 51%    
  Jan 03, 2025 101   Saint Joseph's L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 08, 2025 88   St. Bonaventure L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 14, 2025 55   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-79 15%    
  Jan 18, 2025 186   @ Richmond L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 22, 2025 143   La Salle W 81-78 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 151   @ George Washington L 79-81 42%    
  Jan 28, 2025 55   Virginia Commonwealth L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 31, 2025 46   Dayton L 74-80 29%    
  Feb 04, 2025 171   @ Massachusetts L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 07, 2025 101   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-80 28%    
  Feb 11, 2025 82   George Mason L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 14, 2025 86   @ Loyola Chicago L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 22, 2025 91   Rhode Island L 81-82 45%    
  Feb 25, 2025 134   @ Davidson L 76-79 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 86   Loyola Chicago L 75-77 43%    
  Mar 04, 2025 46   @ Dayton L 71-83 14%    
  Mar 08, 2025 208   Duquesne W 76-69 72%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.2 0.2 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.2 1.0 0.0 6.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.8 2.2 0.1 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.7 0.5 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.3 1.3 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 5.3 2.6 0.2 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 4.6 4.1 0.5 0.0 10.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.6 1.3 0.0 10.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.3 1.7 0.1 9.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 2.3 3.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.4 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 1.9 2.2 1.2 0.2 6.5 15th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.5 5.1 7.8 11.2 13.3 14.0 13.0 10.9 8.4 5.9 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 78.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 33.3% 29.6% 3.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.3%
15-3 0.4% 20.0% 16.8% 3.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.8%
14-4 0.9% 16.4% 16.0% 0.4% 11.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.5%
13-5 2.0% 11.1% 10.9% 0.2% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7 0.2%
12-6 3.5% 8.2% 8.1% 0.1% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.2 0.1%
11-7 5.9% 4.0% 4.0% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.7
10-8 8.4% 2.3% 2.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.2
9-9 10.9% 1.3% 1.3% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.7
8-10 13.0% 1.0% 1.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
7-11 14.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
6-12 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 13.3
5-13 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
4-14 7.8% 7.8
3-15 5.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.1
2-16 2.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.6% 1.5% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.4 0.0%