Fordham
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#196
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#284
Pace62.1#349
Improvement+4.3#11

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#224
First Shot-2.8#255
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#127
Layup/Dunks+0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#288
Freethrows-3.2#334
Improvement+1.2#87

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#177
First Shot+0.0#168
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#224
Layups/Dunks+1.7#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#283
Freethrows+1.7#82
Improvement+3.1#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 n/a
.500 or above 15.9% 17.7% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 12.8% 13.7% 6.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 13.8% 20.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Haven (Home) - 86.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 64 - 14
Quad 48 - 412 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 352 NJIT L 61-72 90%     0 - 1 -27.1 -11.3 -16.7
  Tue, Nov 11 292 Wagner W 63-61 77%     1 - 1 -8.1 -3.4 -4.4
  Fri, Nov 14 172 @Iona L 71-76 33%     1 - 2 -2.9 -0.5 -2.5
  Thu, Nov 20 201 LIU Brooklyn W 69-53 63%     2 - 2 +10.4 -3.1 +14.4
  Sat, Nov 29 306 Albany W 88-68 71%     3 - 2 +11.8 +14.3 -1.8
  Sun, Nov 30 178 Colgate L 62-72 46%     3 - 3 -11.3 -6.8 -5.4
  Sat, Dec 6 311 Holy Cross L 69-70 81%     3 - 4 -12.8 -4.3 -8.6
  Wed, Dec 10 359 Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-54 92%     4 - 4 +3.2 -2.2 +6.9
  Sat, Dec 13 319 Manhattan W 82-53 83%     5 - 4 +16.6 +6.2 +12.5
  Mon, Dec 22 336 New Haven W 69-58 86%    
  Wed, Dec 31 61 @Dayton L 62-76 9%    
  Sun, Jan 4 104 Richmond L 68-72 37%    
  Wed, Jan 7 75 George Mason L 62-69 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 111 @St. Bonaventure L 63-72 20%    
  Wed, Jan 14 34 @Saint Louis L 64-83 4%    
  Sat, Jan 17 140 Duquesne L 72-73 48%    
  Wed, Jan 21 126 @Davidson L 63-71 24%    
  Wed, Jan 28 238 La Salle W 68-63 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 79 @George Washington L 67-80 12%    
  Tue, Feb 3 50 Virginia Commonwealth L 64-74 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 111 St. Bonaventure L 66-69 40%    
  Tue, Feb 10 174 @Saint Joseph's L 66-70 35%    
  Sat, Feb 14 116 @Rhode Island L 63-72 22%    
  Wed, Feb 18 289 Loyola Chicago W 73-65 76%    
  Sat, Feb 21 126 Davidson L 66-68 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61-77 7%    
  Wed, Mar 4 238 @La Salle L 65-66 47%    
  Sat, Mar 7 116 Rhode Island L 66-69 41%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.5 0.7 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.7 1.8 0.1 7.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.7 3.4 0.3 9.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 5.5 5.1 1.0 0.0 13.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 6.2 7.0 1.9 0.1 16.9 11th
12th 0.1 2.0 6.6 7.2 2.4 0.1 18.5 12th
13th 0.3 2.2 5.5 5.1 1.8 0.2 15.0 13th
14th 0.3 1.8 2.8 2.0 0.7 0.0 7.7 14th
Total 0.3 2.0 5.1 9.6 14.0 16.7 16.2 13.4 9.8 6.4 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 72.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 28.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 12.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.7% 4.1% 4.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 3.4% 0.5% 0.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
9-9 6.4% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 6.3
8-10 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 9.8
7-11 13.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 13.4
6-12 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.2
5-13 16.7% 16.7
4-14 14.0% 14.0
3-15 9.6% 9.6
2-16 5.1% 5.1
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%