George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.5#82
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#154
Pace64.9#292
Improvement+1.3#97

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#137
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#83
Layup/Dunks+1.9#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#302
Freethrows+3.6#37
Improvement-0.1#190

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#49
First Shot+5.7#32
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#222
Layups/Dunks+5.9#29
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#186
Freethrows-0.3#209
Improvement+1.3#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 10.9% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.4 11.3 11.8
.500 or above 92.4% 94.1% 79.6%
.500 or above in Conference 84.7% 85.8% 76.4%
Conference Champion 12.4% 12.9% 7.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round10.2% 10.7% 6.5%
Second Round3.0% 3.2% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Home) - 88.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 4
Quad 23 - 34 - 7
Quad 37 - 410 - 10
Quad 410 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 281   NC Central W 75-58 92%     1 - 0 +7.6 -1.9 +10.0
  Nov 08, 2024 12   @ Marquette L 63-82 13%     1 - 1 -0.6 -3.1 +3.4
  Nov 11, 2024 327   Stony Brook W 94-56 95%     2 - 1 +25.7 +15.6 +10.4
  Nov 13, 2024 196   Central Michigan L 69-70 85%     2 - 2 -5.5 -3.4 -2.1
  Nov 16, 2024 159   @ East Carolina L 77-78 2OT 63%     2 - 3 +2.2 -1.3 +3.6
  Nov 20, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 93-55 99%     3 - 3 +15.2 +18.1 -0.3
  Nov 29, 2024 114   @ James Madison W 66-61 51%     4 - 3 +11.3 +1.3 +10.4
  Dec 03, 2024 193   UNC Asheville W 74-52 85%     5 - 3 +17.6 +2.6 +16.5
  Dec 07, 2024 220   Tulane W 75-62 88%    
  Dec 17, 2024 2   @ Duke L 58-75 6%    
  Dec 22, 2024 279   Penn W 77-61 93%    
  Dec 28, 2024 254   Mount St. Mary's W 73-58 91%    
  Dec 31, 2024 134   Davidson W 73-65 77%    
  Jan 04, 2025 91   @ Rhode Island L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 08, 2025 186   Richmond W 71-60 83%    
  Jan 11, 2025 171   Massachusetts W 74-64 82%    
  Jan 15, 2025 46   @ Dayton L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 18, 2025 151   George Washington W 75-66 79%    
  Jan 21, 2025 88   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 29, 2025 86   Loyola Chicago W 69-66 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 134   @ Davidson W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 05, 2025 151   @ George Washington W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 08, 2025 91   Rhode Island W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 11, 2025 137   @ Saint Louis W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 101   Saint Joseph's W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 22, 2025 55   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-68 29%    
  Feb 26, 2025 201   Fordham W 74-63 85%    
  Mar 01, 2025 208   @ Duquesne W 67-61 70%    
  Mar 05, 2025 143   La Salle W 76-67 77%    
  Mar 08, 2025 186   @ Richmond W 68-63 66%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 3.0 4.2 2.7 1.0 0.2 12.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 5.0 4.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 5.3 5.0 1.6 0.1 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.3 5.1 1.7 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.2 3.2 5.4 2.1 0.1 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.8 2.6 0.3 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 3.2 0.7 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.7 0.9 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.3 0.2 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 15th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.4 4.2 6.8 10.1 12.7 14.2 14.6 13.1 9.6 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.6% 1.0    0.9 0.1
16-2 89.7% 2.7    2.0 0.6 0.0
15-3 66.8% 4.2    2.4 1.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 31.2% 3.0    0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1
13-5 8.8% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.4% 12.4 6.5 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 73.4% 41.8% 31.6% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 54.3%
17-1 1.0% 51.2% 32.5% 18.7% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 27.7%
16-2 3.0% 38.0% 30.1% 7.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.1 1.9 11.3%
15-3 6.3% 26.4% 24.8% 1.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 4.6 2.2%
14-4 9.6% 19.1% 18.7% 0.5% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.0 7.8 0.6%
13-5 13.1% 13.3% 13.1% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.0 0.0 11.3 0.2%
12-6 14.6% 9.9% 9.8% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.1 0.0%
11-7 14.2% 6.3% 6.3% 12.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.3
10-8 12.7% 4.3% 4.3% 12.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 12.2
9-9 10.1% 2.8% 2.8% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.8
8-10 6.8% 1.7% 1.7% 12.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
7-11 4.2% 1.2% 1.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
6-12 2.4% 1.0% 1.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4
5-13 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 10.4% 9.7% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 3.8 4.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 89.6 0.7%