NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#305
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#319
Pace66.1#241
Improvement-1.2#234

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#241
First Shot-4.1#292
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#102
Layup/Dunks-0.7#209
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#261
Freethrows+0.4#155
Improvement-1.5#274

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#332
First Shot-3.4#280
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#327
Layups/Dunks-4.8#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#84
Freethrows-1.7#298
Improvement+0.4#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 9.6% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.0% 8.7% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 58.9% 75.8% 43.7%
Conference Champion 4.2% 7.3% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 0.8% 4.7%
First Four7.5% 8.6% 6.6%
First Round4.4% 5.6% 3.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 47.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 48 - 1211 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 77   @ George Mason L 58-75 6%     0 - 1 -7.0 -5.1 -2.4
  Nov 08, 2024 243   Gardner-Webb L 82-88 46%     0 - 2 -13.0 +2.0 -14.8
  Nov 12, 2024 106   @ High Point L 60-76 10%     0 - 3 -9.8 -5.2 -7.1
  Nov 15, 2024 272   Georgia Southern L 75-80 43%     0 - 4 -11.2 -6.9 -3.9
  Nov 16, 2024 193   William & Mary W 78-76 27%     1 - 4 +0.4 -0.4 +0.8
  Nov 17, 2024 194   @ Winthrop L 75-77 20%     1 - 5 -1.0 +1.9 -3.0
  Nov 22, 2024 281   @ Georgia St. L 79-93 36%     1 - 6 -18.3 +9.8 -29.2
  Dec 05, 2024 205   Radford L 67-70 38%     1 - 7 -7.8 -9.9 +2.1
  Dec 07, 2024 243   @ Gardner-Webb W 78-77 28%     2 - 7 -0.8 +2.6 -3.4
  Dec 10, 2024 38   @ West Virginia L 45-79 3%     2 - 8 -19.3 -13.0 -10.5
  Dec 14, 2024 196   @ Longwood W 77-70 20%     3 - 8 +7.9 +5.8 +2.1
  Dec 20, 2024 196   Longwood L 67-82 36%     3 - 9 -19.3 -6.3 -13.4
  Dec 28, 2024 322   @ N.C. A&T L 72-85 45%     3 - 10 -19.8 -1.0 -19.5
  Jan 04, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. L 61-63 73%     3 - 11 0 - 1 -16.4 -15.5 -0.9
  Jan 07, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. L 98-102 2OT 53%     3 - 12 0 - 2 -12.8 -2.0 -10.0
  Jan 11, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 88-69 83%     4 - 12 1 - 2 +1.0 +9.0 -7.5
  Jan 13, 2025 321   Delaware St. W 75-72 65%     5 - 12 2 - 2 -9.0 -0.7 -8.1
  Jan 25, 2025 244   South Carolina St. L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 03, 2025 184   @ Norfolk St. L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 08, 2025 280   @ Howard L 75-79 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 75-63 87%    
  Feb 17, 2025 333   Morgan St. W 81-75 73%    
  Feb 22, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 24, 2025 321   @ Delaware St. L 73-74 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 280   Howard W 78-76 57%    
  Mar 03, 2025 184   Norfolk St. L 69-73 35%    
  Mar 06, 2025 244   @ South Carolina St. L 70-76 28%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.3 0.1 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.9 6.1 2.1 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.2 10.2 4.2 0.0 17.8 3rd
4th 0.1 3.3 12.4 5.9 0.2 21.9 4th
5th 0.1 3.3 12.2 7.3 0.5 23.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 8.3 5.3 0.6 17.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.7 1.3 0.1 4.9 7th
8th 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 8th
Total 0.2 1.5 5.4 13.0 21.1 23.6 18.5 11.1 4.3 1.3 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
11-3 97.7% 1.3    0.9 0.4
10-4 49.8% 2.1    0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0
9-5 6.0% 0.7    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 1.5 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 1.3% 26.6% 26.6% 15.7 0.1 0.3 0.9
10-4 4.3% 17.9% 17.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8 3.5
9-5 11.1% 15.4% 15.4% 16.0 1.7 9.4
8-6 18.5% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 1.9 16.6
7-7 23.6% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 1.6 22.0
6-8 21.1% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 1.1 19.9
5-9 13.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 12.6
4-10 5.4% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.2 5.2
3-11 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.0 91.9 0.0%