William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#193
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#186
Pace75.3#34
Improvement+2.2#84

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#105
First Shot+2.5#105
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#176
Layup/Dunks+0.4#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#28
Freethrows-1.1#258
Improvement+0.2#166

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#295
First Shot-3.5#286
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#247
Layups/Dunks-0.8#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#283
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement+2.0#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 8.6% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 69.1% 76.0% 49.3%
.500 or above in Conference 91.9% 95.4% 81.7%
Conference Champion 14.7% 17.5% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round7.7% 8.5% 5.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Home) - 74.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 35 - 76 - 11
Quad 411 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 205   @ Radford L 77-89 42%     0 - 1 -11.6 +3.1 -14.7
  Nov 12, 2024 184   Norfolk St. W 84-73 58%     1 - 1 +7.5 +6.2 +1.0
  Nov 15, 2024 194   @ Winthrop L 85-86 40%     1 - 2 +0.0 +1.4 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2024 305   NC Central L 76-78 73%     1 - 3 -10.0 -3.6 -6.3
  Nov 17, 2024 272   Georgia Southern W 102-87 67%     2 - 3 +8.8 +13.2 -6.4
  Nov 22, 2024 91   @ North Carolina St. L 61-84 17%     2 - 4 -14.2 -12.6 +0.0
  Nov 24, 2024 121   @ Appalachian St. L 76-79 26%     2 - 5 +2.2 +12.8 -10.8
  Dec 02, 2024 287   @ Old Dominion L 83-88 62%     2 - 6 -9.6 +3.5 -12.7
  Dec 18, 2024 208   Richmond W 93-87 63%     3 - 6 +0.9 +24.6 -23.4
  Dec 22, 2024 40   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 70-90 8%     3 - 7 -5.7 +2.5 -7.3
  Dec 29, 2024 292   Navy W 82-76 79%     4 - 7 -4.1 +1.1 -5.4
  Jan 02, 2025 176   @ Hofstra W 74-56 37%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +19.9 +11.0 +9.8
  Jan 04, 2025 320   @ Stony Brook W 83-76 69%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +0.4 +11.7 -10.8
  Jan 09, 2025 158   Elon W 78-65 53%     7 - 7 3 - 0 +10.8 +14.0 -1.4
  Jan 11, 2025 322   N.C. A&T W 81-78 84%     8 - 7 4 - 0 -9.0 -4.4 -4.8
  Jan 16, 2025 254   @ Hampton W 67-64 55%     9 - 7 5 - 0 +0.1 -1.2 +1.6
  Jan 20, 2025 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 74-85 28%     9 - 8 5 - 1 -6.6 +1.2 -7.6
  Jan 23, 2025 254   Hampton W 78-72 74%    
  Jan 25, 2025 268   Monmouth W 82-75 77%    
  Jan 30, 2025 250   @ Campbell W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 01, 2025 124   College of Charleston L 84-85 47%    
  Feb 06, 2025 187   @ Drexel L 72-75 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 195   @ Delaware L 84-87 40%    
  Feb 13, 2025 176   Hofstra W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 187   Drexel W 74-72 60%    
  Feb 20, 2025 134   UNC Wilmington L 78-79 50%    
  Feb 22, 2025 158   @ Elon L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 175   @ Towson L 69-73 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 198   Northeastern W 80-77 62%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 4.4 5.2 3.2 0.9 0.2 14.7 1st
2nd 0.6 4.9 6.9 2.2 0.3 14.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.7 8.3 2.7 0.1 15.0 3rd
4th 1.6 8.2 4.3 0.2 14.2 4th
5th 0.3 5.0 6.2 0.5 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 6.5 1.3 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.4 3.7 2.9 0.1 7.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.5 0.4 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.3 2.2 1.1 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.1 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 5.5 10.1 16.5 20.2 18.7 14.2 7.5 3.5 0.9 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
15-3 90.4% 3.2    2.5 0.7 0.0
14-4 69.8% 5.2    2.5 2.2 0.5 0.0
13-5 30.7% 4.4    0.7 1.9 1.4 0.4
12-6 4.4% 0.8    0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.7% 14.7 6.7 5.0 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.2% 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 23.9% 23.9% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
15-3 3.5% 17.2% 17.2% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.9
14-4 7.5% 14.4% 14.4% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 6.4
13-5 14.2% 13.5% 13.5% 14.4 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.0 12.3
12-6 18.7% 9.8% 9.8% 14.7 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.1 16.9
11-7 20.2% 5.8% 5.8% 15.1 0.1 0.9 0.2 19.1
10-8 16.5% 3.9% 3.9% 15.2 0.5 0.2 15.8
9-9 10.1% 2.1% 2.1% 15.5 0.1 0.1 9.9
8-10 5.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.4
7-11 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
6-12 0.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.7 2.5 4.0 0.6 92.2 0.0%